Jul 9, 2026
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Read Article MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Blue Jays vs. Tigers play [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for May 14, 2026 are here, with Blue Jays vs. Tigers and Orioles vs. Nationals among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to uncover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [5/14, updated 7:08PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers over 8.5 runs (+117)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 50.7%
- Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Tigers (6:45PM ET, Friday)
Our model has identified value on over 8.5 runs in Blue Jays vs. Tigers at +117 odds. A 50.7% probability produces an edge of 4.7%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Orioles vs. Nationals over 9.5 runs (+122)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 49.5%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
Orioles vs. Nationals over 9.5 runs carries a 4.5% edge and a probability of 49.5% at +122 odds, according to our model.
Giants vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)
Giants vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs at -113 odds shows a 4.5% edge, supported by a 57.5% probability in simulations.
Phillies vs. Pirates over 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
A 3.8% edge and 50.8% probability make Phillies vs. Pirates over 8.5 runs at a value play in the Phillies vs. Pirates matchup, per our model.
Phillies ML (+122)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 48.5%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
Phillies ML at +122 odds presents a 3.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 48.5%.
Royals vs. White Sox over 7.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 54.9%
- Matchup: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in Royals vs. White Sox at -106 odds, supported by an edge of 3.4%.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 5/14/2026
As of 7:08PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays vs. Tigers | Over 8.5 Runs | +117 @ polymarket | 4.7% | 50.7% |
| Orioles vs. Nationals | Over 9.5 Runs | +122 @ polymarket | 4.5% | 49.5% |
| Giants vs. Dodgers | Over 7.5 Runs | -113 @ novig | 4.5% | 57.5% |
| Phillies vs. Pirates | Over 8.5 Runs | +113 @ polymarket | 3.8% | 50.8% |
| Phillies vs. Pirates | Phillies ML | +122 @ polymarket | 3.5% | 48.5% |
| Royals vs. White Sox | Over 7.5 Runs | -106 @ polymarket | 3.4% | 54.9% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/14/2026]
- Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
- Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Blue Jays vs. Tigers (6:45PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 14, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Blue Jays vs. Tigers matchup and over 9.5 runs in the Orioles vs. Nationals matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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