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Read Article MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Rockies vs. Pirates play [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Wednesday, May 13, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for May 13, 2026 are here, with Rockies vs. Pirates and Padres vs. Brewers among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to find real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [5/13, updated 9:34PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, May 13, 2026.
Rockies vs. Pirates over 7.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 59.5%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on over 7.5 runs in Rockies vs. Pirates at -111 odds. A 59.5% probability produces an edge of 7.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Padres vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
Padres vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 56.1% at -102 odds, according to our model.
Marlins vs. Twins over 8.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
Marlins vs. Twins over 8.5 runs at -106 odds shows a 4.4% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.
Giants vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Wednesday)
A 3.8% edge and 54.3% probability make Giants vs. Dodgers over 7.5 runs at a value play in the Giants vs. Dodgers matchup, per our model.
Phillies vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Thursday)
Phillies vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs at +100 odds presents a 3.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.8%.
Cubs vs. Braves over 7.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Matchup: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
Our model finds value on over 7.5 runs in Cubs vs. Braves at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 3.7%.
Tigers vs. Mets over 7.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has uncovered value on Tigers vs. Mets over 7.5 runs at +104 odds. A 52.5% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Royals vs. White Sox over 8.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 52%
- Matchup: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
A 3.0% edge on a 52% probability makes over 8.5 runs at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Royals vs. White Sox matchup.
Nationals vs. Reds over 8.5 runs (+108)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Reds (12:40PM ET, Thursday)
Our model projects value on over 8.5 runs at +108 odds. A 50.8% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Padres ML (+135)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 45.1%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Padres to defeat Brewers at +135 odds shows a 45.1% probability and a 2.6% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 5/13/2026
As of 9:34PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies vs. Pirates | Over 7.5 Runs | -111 @ polymarket | 7.0% | 59.5% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Over 7.5 Runs | -102 @ polymarket | 5.6% | 56.1% |
| Marlins vs. Twins | Over 8.5 Runs | -106 @ polymarket | 4.4% | 55.9% |
| Giants vs. Dodgers | Over 7.5 Runs | -102 @ polymarket | 3.8% | 54.3% |
| Phillies vs. Red Sox | Over 7.5 Runs | +100 @ kalshi | 3.8% | 53.8% |
| Cubs vs. Braves | Over 7.5 Runs | -104 @ kalshi | 3.7% | 54.7% |
| Tigers vs. Mets | Over 7.5 Runs | +104 @ polymarket | 3.5% | 52.5% |
| Royals vs. White Sox | Over 8.5 Runs | +104 @ kalshi | 3.0% | 52% |
| Nationals vs. Reds | Over 8.5 Runs | +108 @ polymarket | 2.8% | 50.8% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Padres ML | +135 @ polymarket | 2.6% | 45.1% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [5/13/2026]
- Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Wednesday)
- Rockies vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
- Nationals vs. Reds (12:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Tigers vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Marlins vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Mariners vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Cardinals vs. Athletics (3:05PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Thursday)
- Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
- Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for May 13, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Rockies vs. Pirates matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Padres vs. Brewers matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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