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Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker [4/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, April 27, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for April 27, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +920.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 25.9% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 24.7% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 21.6% |
| Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) | 19.3% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.1% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 18.5% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 18.4% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 17.2% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 16.7% |
| Andy Pages (Dodgers) | 16.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.9% chance to go yard, followed by Cal Raleigh (24.7%) and Aaron Judge (21.6%).
Julio Rodriguez and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [4/27/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.4%
- Odds: +920
- Edge: 4.6%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ranger Suarez
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Toronto slugger Daulton Varsho rates as a value play at +920 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.6% edge.
Set to face Ranger Suarez in tonight's Red Sox-Blue Jays matchup, the data supports Varsho as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh and Aaron Judge projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.6% edge at +920 odds.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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