Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber [7/6/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 28.1% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Tucker (21.2%) and Yordan Alvarez (20.6%).

Kyle Schwarber and Teoscar Hernández are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [7/6/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 21.2%
• Odds: fanatics+460
• Edge: 3.4%
• Game: Rockies vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Kyle Freeland

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +460 with fanatics, showing a 3.4% edge.

With Kyle Freeland on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Tucker as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 6, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Tucker in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.4% edge at +460 odds.

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