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Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Saturday has +1060 odds [6/27/2026]
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, June 27, 2026, feature Byron Buxton as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for June 27, 2026
See which hitters join Buxton on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1060.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 20.7% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 20.0% |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 19.4% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 19.3% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 18.7% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 18.4% |
| Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) | 18.2% |
| Francisco Alvarez (Mets) | 18.2% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 18.0% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 17.9% |
Our analysis shows Buxton leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.7% chance to go yard, followed by Juan Soto (20.0%) and Vladimir Guerrero (19.4%).
Jo Adell and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [6/27/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Ryan Ward (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.5%
- Odds: +1060
- Edge: 3.9%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Padres (8:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Randy Vásquez
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Ryan Ward rates as a value play at +1060 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.9% edge.
Set to face Randy Vásquez in tonight's Dodgers-Padres matchup, the data supports Ward as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 27, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Byron Buxton, Juan Soto and Vladimir Guerrero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Ryan Ward who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +1060 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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