Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/17/2026]
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Friday.
MLB action continues on Friday at 7:05 PM ET as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees will start Gerrit Cole (3-4, 4.04 ERA), up against Roki Sasaki (3-5, 5.33 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 50.8% win probability over the Dodgers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Dodgers vs. Yankees matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Yankees a 50.8% chance of defeating the Dodgers.
According to our model, the Yankees (+1.5) have a 61.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 53.1% chance of going over,.
Dodgers vs. Yankees odds [7/17/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+150) | +1.5 (-156) |
| Moneyline | -104 | +102 |
| Total | o9.5 (+122) | u9.5 (-127) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Yankees picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees +1.5 | -156 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | +102 |
| Total | Over 9.5 | +122 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Dodgers at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:05 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 50.8% win probability, will likely beat the Dodgers in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
