Home run predictions for Playoffs Saturday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [10/4/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, October 4, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB playoffs matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 4, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	25.2%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	24.0%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	23.3%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Anthony Santander (Blue Jays)	🔒
Ben Rice (Yankees)	🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.2% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (24.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (23.3%).

Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's playoffs home run picks [10/4/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Andy Pages (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.1%
• Odds: +850
• Edge: 4.6%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:38PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Los Angeles slugger Andy Pages offers serious value at +850 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 4.6%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Cristopher Sánchez in tonight's Dodgers-Phillies matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Pages has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Saturday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 23 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Postseason schedule for today [Saturday, October 4, 2025]

• Cubs vs. Brewers (2:08PM ET, Saturday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (4:08PM ET, Saturday)
• Dodgers vs. Phillies (6:38PM ET, Saturday)
• Tigers vs. Mariners (8:38PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

For October 4, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Andy Pages who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.6% edge at +850 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

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