Home run predictions for Wild Card Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Teoscar Hernandez [9/30/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, September 30, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's Wild Card HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for September 30, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	25.0%
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	25.0%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	23.5%
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers)	🔒
Max Muncy (Dodgers)	🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers)	🔒
Michael Busch (Cubs)	🔒
Riley Greene (Tigers)	🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres)	🔒

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.0% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (25.0%) and Giancarlo Stanton (23.5%).

Jazz Chisholm and Teoscar Hernandez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's Wild Card home run picks [9/30/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.2%
• Odds: +900
• Edge: 8.2%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (6:08PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Garrett Crochet

Ranked as one of the top three most likely players in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Jazz Chisholm Jr. offers serious value at +900 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 8.2%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Garrett Crochet on the mound for the Red Sox, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Jr. one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB schedule.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 74 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Wild Card schedule for today [Tuesday, September 30, 2025]

• Tigers vs. Guardians (1:08PM ET, Tuesday)
• Padres vs. Cubs (3:08PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Yankees (6:08PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. Dodgers (9:08PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For September 30, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jazz Chisholm Jr. who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 8.2% edge at +900 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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