MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Luke Keaschall [6/26/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for June 26, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Luke Keaschall, Luis Castillo and Payton Tolle.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Nationals vs. Orioles and Yankees vs. Red Sox, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Friday, 6/26
Sourced from 60+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for June 26, ranked by probability.
Luke Keaschall to get a hit (-180)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 68.4%
- Game: Rockies vs. Twins (8:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Minnesota's Luke Keaschall to get a hit. A probability of 68.4% gives this play an edge of 4.1% at -180 odds.
Luis Castillo over 1.5 earned runs (-149)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 63.9%
- Game: Mariners vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
Luis Castillo’s earned runs prop shows a 63.9% probability and an 4.0% edge at -149 odds, according to our model.
Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts (-114)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 62.3% probability and a 9.1% edge at -114.
Sam Huff over 0.5 bases (-125)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Game: Nationals vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Sam Huff over 0.5 bases, with a 61.9% probability and an edge of 6.3% at -125 odds.
Sam Huff to get a hit (-108)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 61.9%
- Game: Nationals vs. Orioles (7:05PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Sam Huff to get a hit for Baltimore, showing an edge of 10.0% at -108 odds.
Byron Buxton over 1.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Rockies vs. Twins (8:10PM ET)
Byron Buxton’s bases prop shows an edge of 6.8% at -120 odds, supported by a 61.4% probability according to our model.
Jacob Misiorowski under 17.5 outs recorded (-114)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 61.1%
- Game: Cubs vs. Brewers (7:45PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Jacob Misiorowski under 17.5 outs recorded for Milwaukee, with a 61.1% probability and a 7.9% edge at -114 odds.
Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-108)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Mariners vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 61.0% probability at -108 odds and an edge of 9.1%.
Nathan Church over 0.5 bases (-116)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Marlins vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)
A 7.2% edge on the over 4.5 bases line makes Nathan Church a value play in Marlins vs. Cardinals, supported by a 61.0% probability at -116 odds.
Nathan Church to get a hit (-114)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 61.0%
- Game: Marlins vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Nathan Church to get a hit here, with a 61.0% probability and 7.7% edge at -114 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Friday, June 26, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:09AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies vs. Twins | Luke Keaschall to get a hit | -180 @ FanDuel | 4.1% | 68.4% |
| Mariners vs. Guardians | Luis Castillo over 1.5 earned runs | -149 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 63.9% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Payton Tolle under 5.5 strikeouts | -114 @ FanDuel | 6.3% | 61.9% |
| Nationals vs. Orioles | Sam Huff over 0.5 bases | -125 @ Fanatics | 6.3% | 61.9% |
| Nationals vs. Orioles | Sam Huff to get a hit | -108 @ DraftKings | 10.0% | 61.9% |
| Rockies vs. Twins | Byron Buxton over 1.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 6.8% | 61.4% |
| Cubs vs. Brewers | Jacob Misiorowski under 17.5 outs recorded | -114 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 61.1% |
| Mariners vs. Guardians | Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts | -108 @ FanDuel | 9.1% | 61.0% |
| Marlins vs. Cardinals | Nathan Church over 0.5 bases | -116 @ Fanatics | 7.2% | 61.0% |
| Marlins vs. Cardinals | Nathan Church to get a hit | -114 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 61.0% |
Conclusion
For June 26, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Luke Keaschall, Luis Castillo and Payton Tolle. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
