MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Seiya Suzuki [5/4/2026]

Seiya Suzuki to get a hit (-220)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 71.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on CHI Cubs' Seiya Suzuki to get a hit. A probability of 71.0% gives this play an edge of 2.3% at -220 odds.

Dansby Swanson to get a hit (-210)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 69.8%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Dansby Swanson’s to get a hit prop shows a 69.8% probability and an 2.1% edge at -210 odds, according to our model.

Carson Kelly to get a hit (-190)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 69.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Carson Kelly to get a hit, with simulations showing a 69.0% probability and a 3.5% edge at -190.

Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts (-141)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 68.4%
• Game: White Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Our model finds value on Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 68.4% probability and an edge of 9.9% at -141 odds.

Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed (-132)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed for Miami, showing an edge of 8.3% at -132 odds.

Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts (-141)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Chad Patrick’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 6.4% at -141 odds, supported by a 64.9% probability according to our model.

Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts (-135)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Padres vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts for San Francisco, with a 62.2% probability and a 4.8% edge at -135 odds.

Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts (-120)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts, supported by a 61.5% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 6.8%.

Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts (-135)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

A 3.2% edge on the over 3.5 strikeouts line makes Kyle Leahy a value play in Brewers vs. Cardinals, supported by a 60.6% probability at -135 odds.

Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Game: Orioles vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 58.9% probability and 4.8% edge at -118 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:22AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Reds vs. Cubs	Seiya Suzuki to get a hit	-220 @ FanDuel	2.3%	71.0%
Reds vs. Cubs	Dansby Swanson to get a hit	-210 @ FanDuel	2.1%	69.8%
Reds vs. Cubs	Carson Kelly to get a hit	-190 @ FanDuel	9.9%	68.4%
White Sox vs. Angels	Jose Soriano under 6.5 strikeouts	-141 @ fanatics	9.9%	68.4%
Phillies vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 5.5 hits allowed	-132 @ DraftKings	8.3%	65.2%
Brewers vs. Cardinals	Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts	-141 @ DraftKings	6.4%	64.9%
Padres vs. Giants	Trevor McDonald over 3.5 strikeouts	-135 @ DraftKings	4.8%	62.2%
Phillies vs. Marlins	Janson Junk over 3.5 strikeouts	-120 @ fanatics	6.8%	61.5%
Brewers vs. Cardinals	Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts	-135 @ DraftKings	3.2%	60.6%
Orioles vs. Yankees	Shane Baz under 5.5 strikeouts	-118 @ FanDuel	4.8%	58.9%

Conclusion

For May 4, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Seiya Suzuki, Dansby Swanson and Carson Kelly. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.