MLB player props today: Memorial Day best props include Will Warren [5/25/2026]

Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-142)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 65.4%
• Game: Yankees vs. Royals (3:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on NY Yankees' Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 65.4% gives this play an edge of 6.7% at -142 odds.

Zebby Matthews under 5.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 65.1%
• Game: Twins vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET)

Zebby Matthews’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.1% probability and an 8.3% edge at -132 odds, according to our model.

Zack Littell over 14.5 outs recorded (-133)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Nationals vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Zack Littell over 14.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 64.9% probability and a 7.8% edge at -133.

Carmen Mlodzinski over 3.5 strikeouts (-152)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Cubs vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Our model finds value on Carmen Mlodzinski over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 64.6% probability and an edge of 4.3% at -152 odds.

Zebby Matthews under 17.5 outs recorded (-125)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Twins vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Zebby Matthews under 17.5 outs recorded for Minnesota, showing an edge of 7.2% at -125 odds.

Tatsuya Imai over 4.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Astros vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)

Tatsuya Imai’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 5.4% at -132 odds, supported by a 62.2% probability according to our model.

Kumar Rocker under 15.5 outs recorded (-110)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Astros vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Kumar Rocker under 15.5 outs recorded for Texas, with a 61.3% probability and a 8.9% edge at -110 odds.

Hyeseong Kim to get a hit (-143)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Hyeseong Kim to get a hit, supported by a 61.3% probability at -143 odds and an edge of 2.4%.

Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-114)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Game: Astros vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)

A 7.1% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Kumar Rocker a value play in Astros vs. Rangers, supported by a 60.3% probability at -114 odds.

Tommy Troy over 0.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Giants (5:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Tommy Troy over 0.5 bases here, with a 59.2% probability and 5.5% edge at -116 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 25, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:22AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 25, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Will Warren, Zebby Matthews and Zack Littell. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.