Jun 22, 2026
MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Astros vs. Blue Jays play [6/22/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Kumar Rocker [6/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for June 22, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kumar Rocker, Michael Wacha and Framber Valdez.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Brewers vs. Reds and Red Sox vs. Rockies, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Monday, 6/22
Sourced from 35+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for June 22, ranked by probability.
Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-142)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 65.7%
- Game: Rangers vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
Our model has found value on Texas' Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 65.7% gives this play an edge of 7.0% at -142 odds.
Michael Wacha over 3.5 strikeouts (-161)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 64.2%
- Game: Royals vs. Rays (6:40PM ET)
Michael Wacha’s strikeouts prop shows a 64.2% probability and an 2.5% edge at -161 odds, according to our model.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-129)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 63.7%
- Game: Yankees vs. Tigers (6:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.7% probability and a 7.3% edge at -129.
Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-133)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 63.6%
- Game: Cubs vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 63.6% probability and an edge of 6.5% at -133 odds.
Merrill Kelly over 3.5 strikeouts (-120)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Merrill Kelly over 3.5 strikeouts for Arizona, showing an edge of 8.4% at -120 odds.
Zebby Matthews under 16.5 outs recorded (-113)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 61.3%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Zebby Matthews’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 8.2% at -113 odds, supported by a 61.3% probability according to our model.
Owen Caissie over 0.5 bases (-125)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Game: Rangers vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Owen Caissie over 0.5 bases for Miami, with a 60.5% probability and a 4.9% edge at -125 odds.
Owen Caissie to get a hit (-125)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Game: Rangers vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Owen Caissie to get a hit, supported by a 60.5% probability at -125 odds and an edge of 4.9%.
Kyle Bradish under 6.5 strikeouts (-132)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 59.6%
- Game: Orioles vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
A 2.7% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Kyle Bradish a value play in Orioles vs. Angels, supported by a 59.6% probability at -132 odds.
Nathan Church to get a hit (-134)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 59.3%
- Game: D-Backs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
Simulations show value on Nathan Church to get a hit here, with a 59.3% probability and 2.1% edge at -134 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Monday, June 22, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:23AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Marlins | Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts | -142 @ FanDuel | 7.0% | 65.7% |
| Royals vs. Rays | Michael Wacha over 3.5 strikeouts | -161 @ DraftKings | 2.5% | 64.2% |
| Yankees vs. Tigers | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -129 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 63.6% |
| Cubs vs. Mets | Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts | -133 @ DraftKings | 6.5% | 63.6% |
| D-Backs vs. Cardinals | Merrill Kelly over 3.5 strikeouts | -120 @ Fanatics | 8.4% | 63.0% |
| Dodgers vs. Twins | Zebby Matthews under 16.5 outs recorded | -113 @ DraftKings | 8.2% | 61.3% |
| Rangers vs. Marlins | Owen Caissie over 0.5 bases | -125 @ Fanatics | 4.9% | 60.5% |
| Rangers vs. Marlins | Owen Caissie to get a hit | -125 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 60.5% |
| Orioles vs. Angels | Kyle Bradish under 6.5 strikeouts | -132 @ DraftKings | 2.7% | 59.6% |
| D-Backs vs. Cardinals | Nathan Church to get a hit | -134 @ DraftKings | 2.1% | 59.3% |
Conclusion
For June 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Kumar Rocker, Michael Wacha and Framber Valdez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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