MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Eduardo Rodriguez [5/16/2026]

Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 69.6%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model has found value on Arizona's Eduardo Rodriguez under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.6% gives this play an edge of 9.6% at -150 odds.

Sal Frelick to get a hit (-181)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: Brewers vs. Twins (7:10PM ET)

Sal Frelick’s to get a hit prop shows a 67.8% probability and an 3.4% edge at -181 odds, according to our model.

Bryce Elder under 5.5 strikeouts (-138)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 67.2%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

The data highlights value on Bryce Elder under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.2% probability and a 9.2% edge at -138.

Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-154)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts, with a 65.9% probability and an edge of 5.3% at -154 odds.

Corbin Carroll over 1.5 bases (-144)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Corbin Carroll over 1.5 bases for Arizona, showing an edge of 6.5% at -144 odds.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. over 1.5 bases (-111)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 62.0%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s bases prop shows an edge of 9.4% at -111 odds, supported by a 62.0% probability according to our model.

Thomas Saggese to get a hit (-142)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Royals vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Thomas Saggese to get a hit for St. Louis, with a 61.3% probability and a 2.6% edge at -142 odds.

Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts (-136)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Game: Royals vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

The data shows value on Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeouts, supported by a 60.5% probability at -136 odds and an edge of 2.9%.

Nolan Arenado over 1.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 59.1%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

A 5.3% edge on the over 3.5 bases line makes Nolan Arenado a value play in D-Backs vs. Rockies, supported by a 59.1% probability at -116 odds.

Jose Soriano over 15.5 outs recorded (+100)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jose Soriano over 15.5 outs recorded here, with a 58.8% probability and 8.8% edge at +100 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, May 16, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:24AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 16, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Eduardo Rodriguez, Sal Frelick and Bryce Elder. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.