MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Roki Sasaki [5/23/2026]

Roki Sasaki over 4.5 strikeouts (-158)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 68.1%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:15PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on LA Dodgers' Roki Sasaki over 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.1% gives this play an edge of 6.8% at -158 odds.

J.T. Ginn under 5.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Game: Athletics vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

J.T. Ginn’s strikeouts prop shows a 68.0% probability and an 9.0% edge at -144 odds, according to our model.

Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeouts (-143)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:15PM ET)

The data highlights value on Robert Gasser over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.2% probability and a 6.3% edge at -143.

Zack Wheeler over 5.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 62.6%
• Game: Guardians vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Zack Wheeler over 5.5 strikeouts, with a 62.6% probability and an edge of 5.7% at -132 odds.

Patrick Corbin under 4.5 strikeouts (-114)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Game: Pirates vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Patrick Corbin under 4.5 strikeouts for Toronto, showing an edge of 8.3% at -114 odds.

Paul Skenes under 6.5 strikeouts (-115)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Pirates vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET)

Paul Skenes’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -115 odds, supported by a 58.8% probability according to our model.

Freddy Peralta under 17.5 outs recorded (-110)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Mets vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Freddy Peralta under 17.5 outs recorded for NY Mets, with a 58.6% probability and a 6.2% edge at -110 odds.

Ryan Weathers under 5.5 strikeouts (-120)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Game: Rays vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

The data shows value on Ryan Weathers under 5.5 strikeouts, supported by a 57.5% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 3.0%.

MJ Melendez to get a hit (-102)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Game: Mets vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET)

A 4.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes MJ Melendez a value play in Mets vs. Marlins, supported by a 55.1% probability at -102 odds.

Stephen Kolek under 3.5 strikeouts (+132)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 53.0%
• Game: Mariners vs. Royals (4:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Stephen Kolek under 3.5 strikeouts here, with a 53.0% probability and 9.9% edge at +132 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Saturday, May 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:20AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 23, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Roki Sasaki, J.T. Ginn and Robert Gasser. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.