MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Trey Yesavage [5/3/2026]

Trey Yesavage under 5.5 strikeouts (-154)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 66.1%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Twins (12:45PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Toronto's Trey Yesavage under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.1% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at -154 odds.

Jeff McNeil over 0.5 bases (-167)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Guardians vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Jeff McNeil’s bases prop shows a 65.6% probability and an 3.1% edge at -167 odds, according to our model.

Jeff McNeil to get a hit (-172)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Guardians vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jeff McNeil to get a hit, with simulations showing a 65.6% probability and a 2.3% edge at -172.

Aaron Civale over 3.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 64.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Aaron Civale over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 64.9% probability and an edge of 5.8% at -144 odds.

Justin Wrobleski over 3.5 strikeouts (-152)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Justin Wrobleski over 3.5 strikeouts for LA Dodgers, showing an edge of 4.3% at -152 odds.

Chase Burns under 17.5 outs recorded (-130)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Reds vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Chase Burns’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 7.9% at -130 odds, supported by a 64.4% probability according to our model.

Colby Thomas over 0.5 bases (-132)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Guardians vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Colby Thomas over 0.5 bases for Athletics, with a 63.7% probability and a 6.9% edge at -132 odds.

Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts (-113)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Game: Phillies vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.9% probability at -113 odds and an edge of 6.8%.

Austin Riley over 1.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Game: Braves vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

A 6.0% edge on the over 6.5 bases line makes Austin Riley a value play in Braves vs. Rockies, supported by a 59.7% probability at -116 odds.

Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded (-113)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Game: Giants vs. Rays (1:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded here, with a 59.3% probability and 6.2% edge at -113 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, May 3, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:24AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Blue Jays vs. Twins	Trey Yesavage under 5.5 strikeouts	-154 @ DraftKings	5.4%	66.1%
Guardians vs. Athletics	Jeff McNeil over 0.5 bases	-167 @ fanatics	3.1%	65.6%
Guardians vs. Athletics	Jeff McNeil to get a hit	-172 @ fanatics	5.8%	64.9%
Guardians vs. Athletics	Aaron Civale over 3.5 strikeouts	-144 @ DraftKings	5.8%	64.9%
Dodgers vs. Cardinals	Justin Wrobleski over 3.5 strikeouts	-152 @ DraftKings	4.3%	64.6%
Reds vs. Pirates	Chase Burns under 17.5 outs recorded	-130 @ DraftKings	7.9%	64.4%
Guardians vs. Athletics	Colby Thomas over 0.5 bases	-132 @ fanatics	6.9%	63.7%
Phillies vs. Marlins	Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts	-113 @ DraftKings	6.8%	59.9%
Braves vs. Rockies	Austin Riley over 6.5 bases	-116 @ fanatics	6.0%	59.7%
Giants vs. Rays	Tyler Mahle under 16.5 outs recorded	-113 @ DraftKings	6.2%	59.3%

Conclusion

For May 3, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Trey Yesavage, Jeff McNeil and Aaron Civale. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.