MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Andrew Painter [5/7/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 07, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Andrew Painter, Matthew Liberatore and Christian Scott.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pirates vs. D-Backs and Reds vs. Cubs, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop bets for Thursday, 5/7

Sourced from 75+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 7, ranked by probability.

Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed (-151)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Athletics vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Andrew Painter under 5.5 hits allowed. A probability of 66.6% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -151 odds.

Matthew Liberatore over 3.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Padres (10:10PM ET)

Matthew Liberatore’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.2% probability and an 8.3% edge at -132 odds, according to our model.

Christian Scott under 4.5 strikeouts (-130)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Mets vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Christian Scott under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.9% probability and a 7.4% edge at -130.

Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 63.9% probability and an edge of 7.1% at -132 odds.

Andrew Painter under 16.5 outs recorded (-120)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Athletics vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Andrew Painter under 16.5 outs recorded for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 9.0% at -120 odds.

Simeon Woods Richardson over 3.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Game: Twins vs. Nationals (1:05PM ET)

Simeon Woods Richardson’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 5.1% at -118 odds, supported by a 59.3% probability according to our model.

Juan Soto over 1.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Mets vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Juan Soto over 1.5 bases for NY Mets, with a 58.7% probability and a 5.0% edge at -116 odds.

Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts (-116)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Game: Athletics vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 58.5% probability at -116 odds and an edge of 4.7%.

Mark Vientos over 1.5 bases (+100)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Game: Mets vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

A 7.7% edge on the over 4.5 bases line makes Mark Vientos a value play in Mets vs. Rockies, supported by a 57.7% probability at +100 odds.

Zac Gallen over 4.5 strikeouts (-119)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Zac Gallen over 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 56.9% probability and 2.5% edge at -119 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, May 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For May 7, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Andrew Painter, Matthew Liberatore and Christian Scott. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.