MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Anthony Kay [5/14/2026]

Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded (-160)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on CHI White Sox' Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded. A probability of 65.5% gives this play an edge of 4.0% at -160 odds.

Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts (-128)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Game: Mariners vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)

Mike Burrows’s strikeouts prop shows a 64.1% probability and an 8.0% edge at -128 odds, according to our model.

Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Mariners vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.7% probability and a 4.7% edge at -144.

Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts (-128)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 61.5%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 61.5% probability and an edge of 5.4% at -128 odds.

Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts (-111)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Game: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 7.9% at -111 odds.

Hyeseong Kim over 0.5 bases (-125)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Hyeseong Kim’s bases prop shows an edge of 2.9% at -125 odds, supported by a 58.5% probability according to our model.

Hyeseong Kim to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Hyeseong Kim to get a hit for LA Dodgers, with a 58.5% probability and a 2.9% edge at -125 odds.

Garrett Mitchell over 0.5 bases (-105)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Game: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Garrett Mitchell over 0.5 bases, supported by a 55.3% probability at -105 odds and an edge of 4.0%.

Drew Millas to get a hit (-107)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Game: Nationals vs. Reds (12:40PM ET)

A 3.5% edge on the to get a hit line makes Drew Millas a value play in Nationals vs. Reds, supported by a 55.1% probability at -107 odds.

Emmet Sheehan under 5.5 strikeouts (+102)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Emmet Sheehan under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 54.3% probability and 4.8% edge at +102 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, May 14, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:06AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Royals vs. White Sox	Anthony Kay over 14.5 outs recorded	-160 @ DraftKings	4.0%	65.5%
Mariners vs. Astros	Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts	-128 @ FanDuel	8.0%	64.1%
Mariners vs. Astros	Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts	-144 @ FanDuel	5.4%	61.5%
Giants vs. Dodgers	Landen Roupp under 5.5 strikeouts	-128 @ FanDuel	5.4%	61.5%
Padres vs. Brewers	Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts	-111 @ DraftKings	7.9%	60.5%
Giants vs. Dodgers	Hyeseong Kim over 0.5 bases	-125 @ Fanatics	2.9%	58.5%
Giants vs. Dodgers	Hyeseong Kim to get a hit	-125 @ FanDuel	2.9%	58.5%
Padres vs. Brewers	Garrett Mitchell over 0.5 bases	-105 @ Fanatics	4.0%	55.3%
Nationals vs. Reds	Drew Millas to get a hit	-107 @ DraftKings	3.5%	55.1%
Giants vs. Dodgers	Emmet Sheehan under 5.5 strikeouts	+102 @ FanDuel	4.8%	54.3%

Conclusion

For May 14, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Anthony Kay, Mike Burrows and Luis Castillo. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.