MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Brandon Sproat [5/5/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.

MLB Prop Bets.
MLB prop bets for May 5, 2026 are based on the latest odds and projections for Tuesday's baseball games.

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 05, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brandon Sproat, Walker Buehler and Jameson Taillon.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pirates vs. D-Backs and Reds vs. Cubs, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop bets for Tuesday, 5/5

Sourced from 95+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 5, ranked by probability.

Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-143)

Our model has found value on Milwaukee's Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.3% gives this play an edge of 9.4% at -143 odds.

 

Walker Buehler over 1.5 earned runs (-164)

Walker Buehler’s earned runs prop shows a 67.2% probability and an 5.0% edge at -164 odds, according to our model.

 

Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts (-172)

The data highlights value on Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.0% probability and a 3.7% edge at -172.

 

Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases (-132)

Our model finds value on Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases, with a 65.9% probability and an edge of 9.1% at -132 odds.

 

Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit (-132)

Simulations indicate value on Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit for CHI Cubs, showing an edge of 9.1% at -132 odds.

 

George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs (-162)

George Kirby’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 2.8% at -162 odds, supported by a 64.6% probability according to our model.

 

Michael Busch to get a hit (-161)

Our model highlights value on Michael Busch to get a hit for CHI Cubs, with a 64.4% probability and a 2.8% edge at -161 odds.

 

Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases (-141)

The data shows value on Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases, supported by a 64.1% probability at -141 odds and an edge of 5.6%.

 

Matt Shaw to get a hit (-141)

A 5.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes Matt Shaw a value play in Reds vs. Cubs, supported by a 64.1% probability at -141 odds.

 

Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs (-140)

Simulations show value on Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs here, with a 63.6% probability and 5.2% edge at -140 odds.

 

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:56PM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Brewers vs. Cardinals Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts -143 @ DraftKings 9.4% 68.3%
Padres vs. Giants Walker Buehler over 1.5 earned runs -164 @ DraftKings 5.0% 67.2%
Reds vs. Cubs Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts -172 @ fanatics 9.1% 65.9%
Reds vs. Cubs Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases -132 @ fanatics 9.1% 65.9%
Reds vs. Cubs Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit -132 @ fanatics 9.1% 65.9%
Braves vs. Mariners George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs -162 @ DraftKings 2.8% 64.6%
Reds vs. Cubs Michael Busch to get a hit -161 @ DraftKings 2.8% 64.4%
Reds vs. Cubs Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases -141 @ fanatics 5.6% 64.1%
Reds vs. Cubs Matt Shaw to get a hit -141 @ DraftKings 5.6% 64.1%
Athletics vs. Phillies Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs -140 @ DraftKings 5.2% 63.6%
 

Conclusion

For May 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Brandon Sproat, Walker Buehler and Jameson Taillon. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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