MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Brandon Sproat [5/5/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 05, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Brandon Sproat, Walker Buehler and Jameson Taillon.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Pirates vs. D-Backs and Reds vs. Cubs, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Tuesday, 5/5
Sourced from 95+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 5, ranked by probability.
Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-143)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 68.3%
- Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
Our model has found value on Milwaukee's Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.3% gives this play an edge of 9.4% at -143 odds.
Walker Buehler over 1.5 earned runs (-164)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 67.2%
- Game: Padres vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
Walker Buehler’s earned runs prop shows a 67.2% probability and an 5.0% edge at -164 odds, according to our model.
Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts (-172)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 67.0% probability and a 3.7% edge at -172.
Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases (-132)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 65.9%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases, with a 65.9% probability and an edge of 9.1% at -132 odds.
Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit (-132)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 65.9%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit for CHI Cubs, showing an edge of 9.1% at -132 odds.
George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs (-162)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 64.6%
- Game: Braves vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
George Kirby’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 2.8% at -162 odds, supported by a 64.6% probability according to our model.
Michael Busch to get a hit (-161)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Michael Busch to get a hit for CHI Cubs, with a 64.4% probability and a 2.8% edge at -161 odds.
Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases (-141)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 64.1%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
The data shows value on Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases, supported by a 64.1% probability at -141 odds and an edge of 5.6%.
Matt Shaw to get a hit (-141)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 64.1%
- Game: Reds vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)
A 5.6% edge on the to get a hit line makes Matt Shaw a value play in Reds vs. Cubs, supported by a 64.1% probability at -141 odds.
Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs (-140)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 63.6%
- Game: Athletics vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs here, with a 63.6% probability and 5.2% edge at -140 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers vs. Cardinals | Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts | -143 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 68.3% |
| Padres vs. Giants | Walker Buehler over 1.5 earned runs | -164 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 67.2% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Jameson Taillon under 5.5 strikeouts | -172 @ fanatics | 9.1% | 65.9% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Pete Crow-Armstrong over 0.5 bases | -132 @ fanatics | 9.1% | 65.9% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Pete Crow-Armstrong to get a hit | -132 @ fanatics | 9.1% | 65.9% |
| Braves vs. Mariners | George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs | -162 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 64.6% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Michael Busch to get a hit | -161 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 64.4% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Matt Shaw over 0.5 bases | -141 @ fanatics | 5.6% | 64.1% |
| Reds vs. Cubs | Matt Shaw to get a hit | -141 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 64.1% |
| Athletics vs. Phillies | Cristopher Sanchez over 1.5 earned runs | -140 @ DraftKings | 5.2% | 63.6% |
Conclusion
For May 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Brandon Sproat, Walker Buehler and Jameson Taillon. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.



