MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Ezequiel Tovar [7/21/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ezequiel Tovar, Edouard Julien and Mickey Moniak.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Athletics vs. D-Backs and Padres vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Tuesday, 7/21
Sourced from 145+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 21, ranked by probability.
Ezequiel Tovar to get a hit (-207)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 74.9%
- Game: Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Colorado's Ezequiel Tovar to get a hit. A probability of 74.9% gives this play an edge of 7.5% at -207 odds.
Edouard Julien to get a hit (-180)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 70.0%
- Game: Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
Edouard Julien’s to get a hit prop shows a 70.0% probability and an 5.8% edge at -180 odds, according to our model.
Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases (-142)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 68.2%
- Game: Nationals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases, with simulations showing a 68.2% probability and a 9.5% edge at -142.
Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts (-140)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: Giants vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 67.0% probability and an edge of 8.6% at -140 odds.
Matthew Liberatore under 5.5 strikeouts (-143)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 64.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Matthew Liberatore under 5.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, showing an edge of 5.7% at -143 odds.
Nicky Lopez over 0.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Nicky Lopez’s bases prop shows an edge of 9.9% at -120 odds, supported by a 64.4% probability according to our model.
Nicky Lopez to get a hit (-120)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 64.4%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Nicky Lopez to get a hit for Texas, with a 64.4% probability and a 9.9% edge at -120 odds.
Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed (-123)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 63.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
The data shows value on Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed, supported by a 63.6% probability at -123 odds and an edge of 8.4%.
Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-115)
- Edge: 10.0%
- Probability: 63.4%
- Game: Tigers vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET)
A 10.0% edge on the over 4.5 strikeouts line makes Framber Valdez a value play in Tigers vs. Cubs, supported by a 63.4% probability at -115 odds.
Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded (-150)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: White Sox vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded here, with a 63.1% probability and 3.1% edge at -150 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:48AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals vs. Rockies | Ezequiel Tovar to get a hit | -207 @ DraftKings | 7.5% | 74.9% |
| Nationals vs. Rockies | Edouard Julien to get a hit | -180 @ FanDuel | 5.8% | 70.0% |
| Nationals vs. Rockies | Mickey Moniak over 1.5 bases | -142 @ DraftKings | 8.6% | 67.0% |
| Giants vs. Royals | Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts | -140 @ BetMGM | 8.6% | 67.0% |
| Cardinals vs. Angels | Matthew Liberatore under 5.5 strikeouts | -143 @ DraftKings | 5.7% | 64.6% |
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Nicky Lopez over 0.5 bases | -120 @ BetMGM | 9.9% | 64.4% |
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Nicky Lopez to get a hit | -120 @ BetMGM | 9.9% | 64.4% |
| Cardinals vs. Angels | Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 hits allowed | -123 @ DraftKings | 8.4% | 63.6% |
| Tigers vs. Cubs | Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts | -115 @ Fanatics | 10.0% | 63.4% |
| White Sox vs. Rangers | Noah Schultz under 15.5 outs recorded | -150 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 63.1% |
Conclusion
For July 21, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ezequiel Tovar, Edouard Julien and Mickey Moniak. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
