MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Martin Perez [5/19/2026]

Martin Perez over 1.5 earned runs (-166)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 68.2%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Atlanta's Martin Perez over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 68.2% gives this play an edge of 5.8% at -166 odds.

Lance McCullers Jr. under 5.5 strikeouts (-162)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 67.7%
• Game: Astros vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Lance McCullers Jr.’s strikeouts prop shows a 67.7% probability and an 5.9% edge at -162 odds, according to our model.

Ezequiel Tovar to get a hit (-182)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ezequiel Tovar to get a hit, with simulations showing a 66.9% probability and a 2.4% edge at -182.

Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 66.2% probability and an edge of 9.3% at -132 odds.

Kyle Karros to get a hit (-172)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kyle Karros to get a hit for Colorado, showing an edge of 2.5% at -172 odds.

Chase Burns under 6.5 strikeouts (-139)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Chase Burns’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.6% at -139 odds, supported by a 65.7% probability according to our model.

Ben Brown over 1.5 walks allowed (-123)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Ben Brown over 1.5 walks allowed for CHI Cubs, with a 64.7% probability and a 9.5% edge at -123 odds.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 bases (-132)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Isiah Kiner-Falefa over 0.5 bases, supported by a 62.8% probability at -132 odds and an edge of 6.0%.

Edouard Julien to get a hit (-152)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 62.6%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

A 2.3% edge on the to get a hit line makes Edouard Julien a value play in Rangers vs. Rockies, supported by a 62.6% probability at -152 odds.

Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed (-111)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: White Sox vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Anthony Kay over 4.5 hits allowed here, with a 62.2% probability and 9.6% edge at -111 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:12AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 19, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Martin Perez, Lance McCullers Jr. and Ezequiel Tovar. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.