MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Tyler Mahle [5/20/2026]

Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts (-152)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 68.6%
• Game: Giants vs. D-Backs (3:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on San Francisco's Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 68.6% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -152 odds.

Kyle Freeland under 4.5 strikeouts (-142)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)

Kyle Freeland’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.5% probability and an 6.9% edge at -142 odds, according to our model.

Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts (-130)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Chris Sale under 7.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.1% probability and a 6.6% edge at -130.

Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts (-104)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 60.9% probability and an edge of 10.0% at -104 odds.

Carmen Mlodzinski under 4.5 strikeouts (-106)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Carmen Mlodzinski under 4.5 strikeouts for Pittsburgh, showing an edge of 6.5% at -106 odds.

Connelly Early under 16.5 outs recorded (-115)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Connelly Early’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 3.6% at -115 odds, supported by a 57.1% probability according to our model.

Spencer Jones to get a hit (-120)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Spencer Jones to get a hit for NY Yankees, with a 56.6% probability and a 2.0% edge at -120 odds.

Austin Wells over 0.5 bases (-111)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Austin Wells over 0.5 bases, supported by a 55.4% probability at -111 odds and an edge of 2.8%.

Austin Wells to get a hit (+100)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on the to get a hit line makes Austin Wells a value play in Blue Jays vs. Yankees, supported by a 55.4% probability at +100 odds.

Andrew Abbott over 4.5 strikeouts (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Andrew Abbott over 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 54.8% probability and 4.3% edge at -102 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, May 20, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:24AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 20, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Tyler Mahle, Kyle Freeland and Chris Sale. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.