MLS betting tips: Saturday's picks include Philadelphia vs. D.C. United play [2/21/2026]

Philadelphia ML (+120)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Matchup: Philadelphia vs. D.C. United (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Philadelphia to defeat D.C. United at +120 odds. A 49.5% probability produces an edge of 4.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLS slate.

San Diego FC ML (-190)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 69.1%
• Matchup: Montreal vs. San Diego FC (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

San Diego FC ML carries a 3.6% edge and a probability of 69.1% at -190 odds, according to our model.

Minnesota ML (+220)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 34.3%
• Matchup: Minnesota vs. Austin (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Minnesota ML at +220 odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 34.3% probability in simulations.

Toronto vs. Dallas under 2.5 goals (+118)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Matchup: Toronto vs. Dallas (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 3.0% edge and 48.9% probability make Toronto vs. Dallas under 2.5 goals at a value play in the Toronto vs. Dallas matchup, per our model.

Orlando ML (-105)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: NY Red Bulls vs. Orlando (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Orlando ML at -105 odds presents a 2.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.6%.

MLS best bets summary: Saturday, 2/21/2026

As of 5:36PM ET, here are our top MLS bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Philadelphia vs. D.C. United	Philadelphia ML	+120 @ BetMGM	4.1%	49.5%
Montreal vs. San Diego FC	San Diego FC ML	-190 @ BetMGM	3.6%	69.1%
Minnesota vs. Austin	Minnesota ML	+220 @ FanDuel	3.0%	34.3%
Toronto vs. Dallas	Under 2.5 Goals	+118 @ FanDuel	3.0%	48.9%
NY Red Bulls vs. Orlando	Orlando ML	-105 @ FanDuel	2.4%	53.6%

List of upcoming MLS games to bet on [2/21/2026]

• Salt Lake vs. Vancouver (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Philadelphia vs. D.C. United (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• NY Red Bulls vs. Orlando (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• New England vs. Nashville (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Toronto vs. Dallas (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Chicago vs. Houston (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Minnesota vs. Austin (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Miami vs. LAFC (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Sporting KC vs. San Jose (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Columbus vs. Portland (10:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Montreal vs. San Diego FC (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our MLS best bets are locked and loaded for February 21, 2026, featuring plays such as Philadelphia ML and San Diego FC ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate MLS insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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