May 23, 2026
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Read Article Nashville SC vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Nashville SC vs New York City predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET as NY City takes on Nashville at Geodis Park.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Nashville as the most likely winner of the Nashville vs. NY City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Nashville SC vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Nashville and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 58.9% chance of Nashville winning, a 19.3% chance for NY City, and a 21.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Nashville SC vs. New York City odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Nashville | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +280 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -113 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nashville SC vs. New York City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville | -105 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -113 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nashville to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nashville SC vs. New York City: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NSC 1-1 NYC | 10.3% |
| NSC 1-0 NYC | 10.2% |
| NSC 2-1 NYC | 9.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Nashville SC vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Nashville and NY City in MLS at Geodis Park is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Nashville SC vs. New York City
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Geodis Park
World Cup 2026 watch: Shaq Moore (USA)
Nashville right-back Shaq Moore is a key name to follow for USMNT supporters at the moment as excitement ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Moore's form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Nashville has a 58.9% win probability on Saturday, NY City has a 19.3% win probability, and there is a 21.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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