NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Timberwolves vs. Warriors play [12/12/2025]

Warriors ML (-168)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Warriors to defeat Timberwolves at -168 odds. A 66.4% probability produces an edge of 3.7%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Jazz vs. Grizzlies under 243.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Jazz vs. Grizzlies under 243.5 points carries a 2.2% edge and a probability of 54.5% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Jazz +7 (-106)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Jazz +7 vs. Grizzlies at -106 odds shows a 2.1% edge, supported by a 53.5% probability in simulations.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 12/12/2025

As of 7:31PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Timberwolves vs. Warriors	Warriors ML	-168 @ FanDuel	3.7%	66.4%
Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Under 243.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	2.2%	54.5%
Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Jazz +7	-106 @ FanDuel	2.1%	53.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/12/2025]

• Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Nets vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Magic (5:30PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 12, 2025, featuring plays such as Warriors ML and under 243.5 points in the Jazz vs. Grizzlies matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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