NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Hawks play [3/23/2026]

Grizzlies +14 (-106)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Grizzlies +14 at -106 odds. A 56.9% probability produces an edge of 5.4%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Nets +15 (-105)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Nets +15 carries a 4.9% edge and a probability of 56.2% at -105 odds, according to our model.

76ers +16 (-108)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)

76ers +16 vs. Thunder at -108 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 56.6% probability in simulations.

Warriors ML (-122)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET, Monday)

A 3.9% edge and 58.9% probability make Warriors at the moneyline at a value play in the Warriors vs. Mavericks matchup, per our model.

Pacers +12.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Pacers +12.5 at -110 odds presents a 3.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56%.

Lakers ML (-118)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 57.2%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Lakers to win at -118 odds, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

Grizzlies vs. Hawks under 240.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Grizzlies vs. Hawks under 240.5 points at -108 odds. A 54.6% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Spurs vs. Heat under 242.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Heat (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.6% edge on a 53.8% probability makes under 242.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Spurs vs. Heat matchup.

Bucks +13.5 (-114)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Bucks +13.5 at -114 odds. A 55.8% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making Bucks the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Pacers ML (+550)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 17.8%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Pacers to defeat Magic at +550 odds shows a 17.8% probability and a 2.5% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 3/23/2026

As of 4:04PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Grizzlies +14	-106 @ FanDuel	5.4%	56.9%
Nets vs. Trail Blazers	Nets +15	-105 @ FanDuel	4.9%	56.2%
Thunder vs. 76ers	76ers +16	-108 @ FanDuel	4.6%	56.6%
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Warriors ML	-122 @ FanDuel	3.9%	58.9%
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers +12.5	-110 @ FanDuel	3.6%	56%
Lakers vs. Pistons	Lakers ML	-118 @ BetMGM	3.1%	57.2%
Grizzlies vs. Hawks	Under 240.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	2.7%	54.6%
Spurs vs. Heat	Under 242.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	2.6%	53.8%
Bucks vs. Clippers	Bucks +13.5	-114 @ FanDuel	2.5%	55.8%
Pacers vs. Magic	Pacers ML	+550 @ DraftKings	2.5%	17.8%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [3/23/2026]

• Thunder vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Spurs vs. Heat (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grizzlies vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Raptors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET, Monday)
• Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

AI betting support with Dimebot

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for March 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Grizzlies +14 and Nets +15. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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