NBA picks today: Monday's best bets include Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies play [4/6/2026]

Grizzlies ML (+675)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 16.8%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Grizzlies to defeat Cavaliers at +675 odds. A 16.8% probability produces an edge of 3.9%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Grizzlies +13.5 (-112)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Grizzlies +13.5 carries a 3.1% edge and a probability of 55.9% at -112 odds, according to our model.

76ers +8.5 (-108)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)

76ers +8.5 vs. Spurs at -108 odds shows a 2.7% edge, supported by a 54.6% probability in simulations.

Hawks ML (-118)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.3% edge and 56.5% probability make Hawks at the moneyline at a value play in the Knicks vs. Hawks matchup, per our model.

NBA best bets summary: Monday, 4/6/2026

As of 4:32PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies ML	+675 @ BetMGM	3.9%	16.8%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies +13.5	-112 @ DraftKings	3.1%	55.9%
76ers vs. Spurs	76ers +8.5	-108 @ DraftKings	2.7%	54.6%
Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks ML	-118 @ FanDuel	2.3%	56.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [4/6/2026]

• Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pistons vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for April 6, 2026, featuring plays such as Grizzlies ML and Grizzlies +13.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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