NBA picks today: Easter Sunday best bets include Jazz vs. Thunder play [4/5/2026]

Jazz +23.5 (-105)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Thunder (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Jazz +23.5 at -105 odds. A 62.1% probability produces an edge of 10.9%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Pacers +15.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Pacers +15.5 carries a 6.4% edge and a probability of 57.6% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Kings +13.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Kings +13.5 vs. Clippers at -110 odds shows a 3.4% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations.

Lakers ML (-118)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 57.5%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.3% edge and 57.5% probability make Lakers at the moneyline at a value play in the Lakers vs. Mavericks matchup, per our model.

Pacers ML (+900)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 13.1%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Pacers ML at +900 odds presents a 3.1% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 13.1%.

Kings ML (+600)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 15.8%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Kings to win at +600 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Rockets ML (-155)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has uncovered value on Rockets ML at -155 odds. A 62.9% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 4/5/2026

As of 4:17PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Jazz vs. Thunder	Jazz +23.5	-105 @ BetMGM	10.9%	62.1%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers +15.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.4%	57.6%
Clippers vs. Kings	Kings +13.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.4%	55.8%
Lakers vs. Mavericks	Lakers ML	-118 @ BetMGM	3.3%	57.5%
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers ML	+900 @ DraftKings	3.1%	13.1%
Clippers vs. Kings	Kings ML	+600 @ DraftKings	2.5%	15.8%
Rockets vs. Warriors	Rockets ML	-155 @ DraftKings	2.1%	62.9%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [4/5/2026]

• Pacers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Hornets vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Magic vs. Pelicans (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jazz vs. Thunder (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Lakers vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Clippers vs. Kings (9:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for April 5, 2026, featuring plays such as Jazz +23.5 and Pacers +15.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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