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NBA Props: One stat to know for every game on Friday, March 20
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We use the Dimers Pro NBA projections to find the best betting angle in each game on Friday, March 20
There are six games on the NBA schedule this Friday, March 20, and as teams make their NBA playoff push, we are looking at the best NBA player prop or bet to make in each, thanks to some data-backed insights from the Dimers Pro suite of NBA betting tools.
From our best bets and props to the Dimers Pro NBA Projections Hub and our prop trends, all exclusive to Dimers Pros, we have a loaded arsenal of features to help you cut through the noise and find the most profitable ways to bet on every single NBA game.
Now included in the Dimers App, the NBA Player Projections Hub is one of the best ways to uncover hidden player prop value, providing daily projections for every NBA player, including points, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals, and we'll be using this tool heavily today.
This expansive hub can identify players on the brink of significant statistical performances, notably those who are within range of double digits in multiple categories as “Double-Double Threats” or “Triple-Double Threats” as well as find players who are projected not just to hit their regular prop line, but go over even further and cash some plus-money alternate lines or ladder props.
To narrow down today's opportunities, we've identified one notable stat, projection or bet in each of today's six games.
1. 30 points for Jaylen Brown
Game: Celtics vs. Grizzlies
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
In the Grizzlies-Celtics cross-conference clash, the Dimers model projects Jaylen Brown for a big night.
As the top scorer on the slate, we project Brown for 30.1 points, putting him well over his line of 25.5, which already comes with a Dimers edge and a 59.2% probability.
That puts some alternate lines in play, with 30+ available at +224 on DraftKings looking like good value.
The Grizzlies have been a bottom-five scoring defense over their past 15 games, with Brown hitting 30+ points in three of his past four games.
Jaylen Brown's points prop as seen in the Dimers App.
2. Who fills the void in Detroit?
Game: Pistons vs. Warriors
Tip: 7:30 PM ET
Cade Cunningham will be out for multiple weeks with a collapsed lung, leaving a major void on offense in Detroit.
The Pistons have won both games since the injury - he played just 5 minutes before exiting on Tuesday - though both games were against the pitiful Wizards.
In his absence, Jalen Duren has dropped 60 points over those two games, projecting for 20.1 points tonight and he'll likely be the clear top scorer for Detroit most nights, but who else sees an uptick without Cunningham?
The player to watch might be rookie guard Daniss Jenkins, who stepped in when Cunningham left to drop 15 points and 7 assists. He played 34 minutes in the following game, just his second such game since November. He finished with 9 points on just 3-16 shooting, but the volume was there.
When he played 30+ minutes over a five-game stretch in November, he scored 24, 18, 19, 26 and 14 points, and Cunningham missed multiple games in that span.
He projects for 13.3 points tonight, just shy of Tobias Harris for second on the team.
3. The Rockets snap the Hawks' hot streak
Game: Rockets vs. Hawks
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
No team in the NBA is hotter than the Atlanta Hawks, winners of 11 straight games and now sitting 6th in the East, fighting to stay out of the Play-In tournament.
They'll run into the Houston Rockets tonight, who have dropped two straight and sit just three games above falling into the Play-In themselves.
Our model says the Rockets end the Hawks' streak, giving them a 63.9% probability to win, as well as a 52% probability to cover the 3.5-point spread.
Our edge on the Rockets ML from the Dimers App.
4. Boards in Brooklyn
Game: Knicks vs. Nets
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
We've got a NY vs. NY clash on the slate tonight and our model says it's likely that one of the Knicks' big men pulls down the most boards.
What makes this one interesting at this point is Karl-Anthony Towns, projected to lead the game with 11.3 rebounds, has been downgraded to questionable for the contest due to personal reasons.
Currently, Mitchell Robinson projects for 8.7 rebounds, second on the team and in the game as a whole.
If KAT sits, Robinson could see a big uptick in his projection. In three of his last five games without Towns, Robinson has pulled down 22, 13 and 14 boards, with that best game just one week ago vs. the Pacers.
Indiana ranks 24th vs. rebounds against Centers over their past 15 games. The Nets rank 27th in that same span.
Monitor Towns' status and our projections as we get closer to gametime, but the data points to one or both of them racking up rebounds on Friday.
5. Donovan's double double
Game: Blazers vs. Timberwolves
Tip: 8:00 PM ET
In Blazers-Wolves, two players project for a double double, Rudy Gobert and Donovan Clingan, each with a top five overall rebound projection of the night.
While Gobert is at -149 odds, Clingan is nearly even money at -101 on DraftKings.
That also stands out, because if you parlay 10+ points and 10+ rebounds for Clingan on DraftKings, you get only -115 odds, a worse price for the same bet. And technically, the double-double prop is better on its own because a 10+ assist game (though highly unlikely with just 2.4 AST projected) gives you more ways to cash the bet.
Clingan has cashed a double double in five straight games and seven of nine games in March, and now gets a Minnesota team allowing the most rebounds per game to Centers over their past 15 games, setting up Clingan for a big night on the glass.
6. Who scores the most in Denver?
Game: Nuggets vs. Raptors
Tip: 9:00 PM ET
In the last game of the night, the Nuggets host the Raptors and our model projects both of Denver's stars for big scoring performances.
Nikola Jokic (26.5) and Jamal Murray (25.8) are two of our top four overall projected scorers across all of tonight's games, at nearly identical projections.
On FanDuel, you can bet Nikola Jokic as the top scorer of the game at +120 or Murray to lead the game at +300.
Think neither of them leads?
Brandon Ingram leads the Raptors projections at 23.9 points and has hit 30 in three games this month. The Nuggets have given up six 30-point performances over their past 10 games, but it was still Jokic or Murray leading the scoring in all but two games.
Top projected scorers in Nuggets-Raptors from the Dimers App.
Dimers' NBA betting resources for the 2025-26 season
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- Best NBA Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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