Jun 5, 2026
Knicks vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 28 points in Game 2 of 2026 Finals
Read Article NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, April 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of NBA slate on 4/6.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, April 6, 2026—are live with the Spurs' Victor Wembanyama projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Wembanyama, Jarrett Allen and Jalen Duren lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (April 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | 16.0% |
| Jarrett Allen | Cavaliers | 15.3% |
| Jalen Duren | Pistons | 14.7% |
| Evan Mobley | Cavaliers | 14.6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 12.8% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 12.6% |
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 12.5% |
| CJ McCollum | Hawks | 12.3% |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | Grizzlies | 12.3% |
| Joel Embiid | 76ers | 12.2% |
| Jamal Murray | Nuggets | 11.6% |
| Paolo Banchero | Magic | 11.4% |
| Desmond Bane | Magic | 11.2% |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 11.1% |
| Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 10.7% |
NBA first basket picks today (April 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | Grizzlies | 2.3% | +900 | 12.3% |
| Christian Braun | Nuggets | 1.8% | +1200 | 9.4% |
| Toumani Camara | Trail Blazers | 1.4% | +1100 | 9.7% |
| Jalen Johnson | Hawks | 1.1% | +900 | 11.1% |
| Kevin Huerter | Pistons | 0.7% | +1000 | 9.8% |
| Jalen Duren | Pistons | 0.4% | +600 | 14.7% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 0.3% | +700 | 12.8% |
| Cedric Coward | Grizzlies | 0.2% | +900 | 10.2% |
| Dyson Daniels | Hawks | 0.0% | +1000 | 9.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 4/6.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, April 6, 2026, Victor Wembanyama, Jarrett Allen and Jalen Duren lead our first basket projections, while Olivier-Maxence Prosper shapes as the strongest value play at +900. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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