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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, April 11, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of NBA slate on 4/11.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, April 11, 2026—are live with the Celtics' Jaylen Brown projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Brown, Kawhi Leonard and Victor Wembanyama lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (April 11, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | Celtics | 17.1% |
| Kawhi Leonard | Clippers | 16.7% |
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | 16.5% |
| Cooper Flagg | Mavericks | 15.6% |
| Tre Jones | Bulls | 15.3% |
| Evan Mobley | Cavaliers | 15.3% |
| LeBron James | Lakers | 14.2% |
| Darius Garland | Clippers | 14.2% |
| Jalen Green | Suns | 13.8% |
| Franz Wagner | Magic | 13.6% |
| LaMelo Ball | Hornets | 13.1% |
| Jeremiah Fears | Pelicans | 13.0% |
| Deandre Ayton | Lakers | 13.0% |
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 12.7% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 12.7% |
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, April 11, 2026, Jaylen Brown, Kawhi Leonard and Victor Wembanyama lead our first basket projections. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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