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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Play-In Tournament, Tuesday, April 14, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of NBA slate on 4/14.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, April 14, 2026—are live with the Hornets' LaMelo Ball projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Ball, Jalen Green and Deni Avdija lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA Playoffs first basket predictions tonight (Play-In Tournament, Tuesday, April 14, 2026)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball | Hornets | 12.8% |
| Jalen Green | Suns | 12.5% |
| Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 12.2% |
| Devin Booker | Suns | 11.8% |
| Norman Powell | Heat | 11.8% |
| Miles Bridges | Hornets | 11.6% |
| Tyler Herro | Heat | 11.5% |
| Brandon Miller | Hornets | 11.3% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 11.2% |
| Jrue Holiday | Trail Blazers | 10.3% |
| Bam Adebayo | Heat | 9.9% |
| Toumani Camara | Trail Blazers | 9.9% |
| Scoot Henderson | Trail Blazers | 9.7% |
| Kon Knueppel | Hornets | 8.7% |
| Andrew Wiggins | Heat | 8.7% |
NBA first basket picks today (April 14, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara | Trail Blazers | 1.6% | +1100 | 9.9% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 4/14.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For the Play-In Tourmanent action on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, LaMelo Ball, Jalen Green and Deni Avdija lead our first basket projections, while Toumani Camara shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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