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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, December 17, 2025

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Written by Damien Souness

Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of NBA slate on 12/17.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
Our NBA first basket predictions for December 17, 2025, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, December 17, 2025—are live with the Cavaliers' Donovan Mitchell projected as the most likely player to score first.

These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.

Mitchell, Bones Hyland and Coby White lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.

NBA first basket predictions tonight (December 17, 2025)

Player Team Probability
Donovan Mitchell Cavaliers 17.4%
Bones Hyland Timberwolves 12.2%
Coby White Bulls 11.8%
Jarrett Allen Cavaliers 11.0%
Julius Randle Timberwolves 10.8%
Josh Giddey Bulls 10.8%
Jaylen Wells Grizzlies 10.6%
Cedric Coward Grizzlies 10.1%
Rudy Gobert Timberwolves 9.6%
Santi Aldama Grizzlies 9.5%
Darius Garland Cavaliers 9.2%
Jaden McDaniels Timberwolves 9.0%
Donte DiVincenzo Timberwolves 8.5%
De'Andre Hunter Cavaliers 7.8%
Isaac Okoro Bulls 7.3%

Donovan Mitchell shooting a free throw.
Donovan Mitchell is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Wednesday, December 17, 2025.

NBA first basket picks today (December 17, 2025)

Player Team Edge Odds Probability
Bones Hyland Timberwolves 3.1% +1000 12.2%
Jaylen Wells Grizzlies 2.3% +1100 10.6%
Coby White Bulls 2.3% +950 11.8%
Donovan Mitchell Cavaliers 0.7% +500 17.4%
Cedric Coward Grizzlies 0.6% +950 10.1%
Josh Giddey Bulls 0.2% +850 10.8%

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 12/17.

Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket

For Wednesday, December 17, 2025, Donovan Mitchell, Bones Hyland and Coby White lead our first basket projections, with Hyland shaping as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.

For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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