NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Matas Buzelis [1/16/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 16, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Matas Buzelis, T.J. McConnell and Pascal Siakam.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Bulls vs. Nets and Timberwolves vs. Rockets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 1/16

Sourced from 25+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 16, ranked by edge.

Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks (+175)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Bulls vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Chicago's Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 48.5% gives this play an edge of 12.1% at +175 odds.

T.J. McConnell over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Pelicans vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

T.J. McConnell’s steals prop shows an 11.8% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 46.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pelicans vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.9% probability and a 10.9% edge at +178.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+164)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Cavaliers vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Joel Embiid to put up 1.3 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.4% on the over 1.5 line at +164 odds.

Egor Demin over 2.5 3-pointers made (+133)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Projection: 2.8
• Game: Bulls vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Egor Demin over 2.5 3-pointers made for Brooklyn, showing an edge of 10.1% at +133 odds.

Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Jaden McDaniels’s steals prop shows an edge of 10.1% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 today.

Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks (+170)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Wizards vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Precious Achiuwa for 1.1 blocks for Sacramento, creating an edge of 9.2% on over 1.5 at +170 odds.

Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+150)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Clippers vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Scottie Barnes for 1.3 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +150 odds and a 8.5% edge.

Jay Huff over 2.5 blocks (+135)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Pelicans vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

An 8.5% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Jay Huff a value play in Pelicans vs. Pacers, with our model projecting him for 2.6 blocks at +135 odds.

Donte DiVincenzo over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET)

Simulations project Donte DiVincenzo for 1.5 steals here, creating a 8.2% edge on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, January 16, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:56PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Bulls vs. Nets	Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks	+175 @ BetMGM	12.1%	48.5%
Pelicans vs. Pacers	T.J. McConnell over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.8%	45.8%
Pelicans vs. Pacers	Pascal Siakam over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.4%	48.3%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks	+164 @ DraftKings	10.4%	48.3%
Bulls vs. Nets	Egor Demin over 2.5 3-pointers made	+133 @ DraftKings	10.1%	53.1%
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	10.1%	48.3%
Wizards vs. Kings	Precious Achiuwa over 1.5 blocks	+170 @ BetMGM	9.2%	46.2%
Clippers vs. Raptors	Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks	+150 @ BetMGM	8.5%	48.5%
Pelicans vs. Pacers	Jay Huff over 1.5 blocks	+135 @ BetMGM	8.5%	51.1%
Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Donte DiVincenzo over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	8.2%	50.2%

Conclusion

For January 16, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Matas Buzelis, T.J. McConnell and Pascal Siakam. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.