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NBA Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Nikola Jokic [4/23/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.

NBA Prop Bets.
NBA prop bets for April 23, 2026 are based on the latest odds and projections for Friday's basketball games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for April 24, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nikola Jokic, Jalen Johnson and OG Anunoby.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Knicks vs. Hawks and Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Friday's playoffs, 4/23

Below are the top ten NBA player props for April 23, ranked by probability.

Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists (+110)

Our model has found value on Denver's Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists. A probability of 62.6% gives this play an edge of 15.0% at +110 odds.

 

Jalen Johnson over 6.5 assists (+112)

  • Edge: 7.3%
  • Probability: 54.4%
  • Projection: 7.3
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Jalen Johnson’s assists prop shows a 7.3% edge at +112 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 7.3 assists on the over 6.5 line.

 

OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored (+106)

  • Edge: 5.7%
  • Probability: 54.2%
  • Projection: 18.5
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 54.2% probability and a 5.7% edge at +106.

 

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+140)

Our model projects Rudy Gobert to record 1.3 blocks today, creating an edge of 6.8% on the over 1.5 line at +140 odds.

 

OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+143)

  • Edge: 6.1%
  • Probability: 47.2%
  • Projection: 1.3
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals for New York, showing an edge of 6.1% at +143 odds.

 

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+164)

Nikola Jokic’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.0% at +164 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

 

Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals (+154)

  • Edge: 7.1%
  • Probability: 46.4%
  • Projection: 1.3
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker for 1.3 steals for Atlanta, creating an edge of 7.1% on over 1.5 at +154 odds.

 

Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals (+163)

Our expert modelling projects Anthony Edwards for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +163 odds and a 8.1% edge.

 

Jalen Johnson under 0.5 steals (+179)

  • Edge: 7.6%
  • Probability: 43.4%
  • Projection: 1.0
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

A 7.6% edge on the under 1.5 steals line makes Jalen Johnson a value play in Knicks vs. Hawks, with our model projecting him for 1.0 steals at +179 odds.

 

CJ McCollum to score first basket (+700)

Simulations show value on CJ McCollum to score first basket here, with a 13.5% probability and 1.0% edge at +700 odds.

 

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, April 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:03AM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nikola Jokic over 10.5 assists +110 @ DraftKings 15.0% 62.6%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jalen Johnson over 6.5 assists +112 @ FanDuel 7.3% 54.4%
Knicks vs. Hawks OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored +106 @ FanDuel 6.8% 48.4%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks +140 @ BetMGM 6.8% 48.4%
Knicks vs. Hawks OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals +143 @ DraftKings 6.1% 47.2%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals +164 @ DraftKings 9.0% 46.9%
Knicks vs. Hawks Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals +154 @ DraftKings 7.1% 46.4%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Anthony Edwards over 1.5 steals +163 @ DraftKings 8.1% 46.2%
Knicks vs. Hawks Jalen Johnson under 1.5 steals +179 @ DraftKings 7.6% 43.4%
Knicks vs. Hawks CJ McCollum to score first basket +700 @ FanDuel 1.0% 13.5%
 

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Conclusion

For April 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Nikola Jokic, Jalen Johnson and OG Anunoby. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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