NBA Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Jalen Duren [5/15/2026]

Jalen Duren over 10.5 points scored (-107)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Projection: 14.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Detroit's Jalen Duren over 10.5 points scored. A probability of 57.6% gives this play an edge of 5.9% at -107 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 18.5 points scored (+120)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 52.5%
• Projection: 19.6
• Game: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)

De'Aaron Fox’s points scored prop shows a 7.0% edge at +120 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 19.6 points scored on the over 18.5 line.

Evan Mobley over 16.5 points scored (+130)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 16.8
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Evan Mobley over 16.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 50.8% probability and a 7.3% edge at +130.

Julian Champagnie over 10.5 points scored (+130)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 50.5%
• Projection: 10.7
• Game: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Julian Champagnie to put up 10.7 points scored today, creating an edge of 7.0% on the over 10.5 line at +130 odds.

Max Strus over 10.5 points scored (+130)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 49.9%
• Projection: 10.4
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Max Strus over 10.5 points scored for Cleveland, showing an edge of 6.4% at +130 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 6.5 assists (+150)

• Edge: 9.1%
• Probability: 49.1%
• Projection: 6.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)

De'Aaron Fox’s assists prop shows an edge of 9.1% at +150 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.3 today.

Ausar Thompson over 1.5 blocks (+150)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Ausar Thompson for 1.3 blocks for Detroit, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 1.5 at +150 odds.

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+176)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Rudy Gobert for 1.2 blocks, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +176 odds and a 11.6% edge.

Stephon Castle over 6.5 rebounds (+210)

• Edge: 14.4%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 5.9
• Game: Spurs vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)

A 14.4% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Stephon Castle a value play in Spurs vs. Timberwolves, with our model projecting him for 5.9 rebounds at +210 odds.

Max Strus over 5.5 rebounds (+185)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Simulations project Max Strus for 4.8 rebounds here, creating a 11.0% edge on the over 5.5 line at +185 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, May 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:46AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 15, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Jalen Duren, De'Aaron Fox and Evan Mobley. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.