NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Alperen Sengun [3/23/2026]

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks (+200)

• Edge: 14.5%
• Probability: 47.9%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Houston's Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 47.9% gives this play an edge of 14.5% at +200 odds.

Josh Giddey over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Josh Giddey’s steals prop shows a 12.3% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 47.3% probability and an 11.3% edge at +178.

Kristaps Porzingis over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Kristaps Porzingis to record 1.4 blocks today, creating an edge of 10.6% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Spurs vs. Heat (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals for San Antonio, showing an edge of 10.3% at +194 odds.

Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Spurs vs. Heat (7:00PM ET)

Norman Powell’s steals prop shows an edge of 10.2% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Brandin Podziemski for 1.2 steals for Golden State, creating an edge of 9.7% on over 1.5 at +178 odds.

Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 45.6%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Austin Reaves for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 9.7% edge.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

A 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes LeBron James a value play in Lakers vs. Pistons, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +178 odds.

Darius Garland over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 43.4%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Simulations project Darius Garland for 1.0 steals here, creating a 9.4% edge on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, March 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 4:04PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Rockets vs. Bulls	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 blocks	+200 @ BetMGM	14.5%	47.9%
Rockets vs. Bulls	Josh Giddey over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.3%	46.3%
Bucks vs. Clippers	Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	10.6%	48.8%
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Kristaps Porzingis over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	10.6%	48.8%
Spurs vs. Heat	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.3%	44.3%
Spurs vs. Heat	Norman Powell over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.2%	44.2%
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.7%	45.7%
Lakers vs. Pistons	Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.7%	45.6%
Lakers vs. Pistons	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.5%	45.5%
Bucks vs. Clippers	Darius Garland over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	9.4%	43.4%

Conclusion

For March 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Alperen Sengun, Josh Giddey and Brook Lopez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.