NBA player props today: Monday's best props include Matisse Thybulle [3/23/2026]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for March 23, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Matisse Thybulle, Myles Turner and Brook Lopez.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Grizzlies vs. Hawks and Rockets vs. Bulls, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Monday, 3/23
Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for March 23, ranked by edge.
Matisse Thybulle over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 15.2%
- Probability: 51.2%
- Projection: 1.6
- Game: Nets vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Portland's Matisse Thybulle over 1.5 steals. A probability of 51.2% gives this play an edge of 15.2% at +178 odds.
Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks (+170)
- Edge: 11.4%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Myles Turner’s blocks prop shows an 11.4% edge at +170 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 blocks on the over 1.5 line.
Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks (+178)
- Edge: 11.1%
- Probability: 47.1%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 47.1% probability and an 11.1% edge at +178.
Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+179)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 45.6%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Brandin Podziemski to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 9.8% on the over 1.5 line at +179 odds.
Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made (+134)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made for Dallas, showing an edge of 9.7% at +134 odds.
Darius Garland over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 43.2%
- Projection: 1.0
- Game: Bucks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)
Darius Garland’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.2% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.
Kristaps Porzingis over 1.5 blocks (+138)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 49.1%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Kristaps Porzingis for 1.4 blocks for Golden State, creating an edge of 7.1% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.
Brandon Ingram over 4.5 assists (+124)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Raptors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Brandon Ingram for 4.8 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +124 odds and a 7.0% edge.
Leonard Miller over 9.5 points scored (+104)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Projection: 12.0
- Game: Rockets vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)
A 6.3% edge on the over 4.5 points scored line makes Leonard Miller a value play in Rockets vs. Bulls, with our model projecting him for 12.0 points scored at +104 odds.
Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+126)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 49.9%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Raptors vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)
Simulations project Scottie Barnes for 1.5 blocks here, creating a 5.6% edge on the over 1.5 line at +126 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, March 23, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:55PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Trail Blazers | Matisse Thybulle over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 15.2% | 51.2% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks | +170 @ BetMGM | 11.4% | 48.4% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Brook Lopez over 1.5 blocks | +178 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 45.6% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals | +179 @ DraftKings | 9.8% | 45.6% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made | +134 @ FanDuel | 9.7% | 52.5% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Darius Garland over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 9.2% | 43.2% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Kristaps Porzingis over 1.5 blocks | +138 @ FanDuel | 7.1% | 49.1% |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Brandon Ingram over 4.5 assists | +124 @ FanDuel | 7.0% | 51.7% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Leonard Miller over 4.5 points scored | +104 @ DraftKings | 6.3% | 55.3% |
| Raptors vs. Jazz | Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks | +126 @ FanDuel | 5.6% | 49.9% |
Conclusion
For March 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Matisse Thybulle, Myles Turner and Brook Lopez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.



