NBA player props today: Monday's best props include P.J. Washington [12/15/2025]

P.J. Washington over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Dallas' P.J. Washington over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.1% gives this play an edge of 12.1% at +178 odds.

P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks (+155)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

P.J. Washington’s blocks prop shows a 9.7% edge at +155 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks (+147)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 50.2%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 50.2% probability and a 9.7% edge at +147.

James Harden over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects James Harden to record 1.4 steals today, creating an edge of 9.7% on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

Naji Marshall over 3.5 assists (+125)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Naji Marshall over 3.5 assists for Dallas, showing an edge of 9.0% at +125 odds.

Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Cooper Flagg’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.3% at +148 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 today.

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+139)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Nikola Jokic for 1.5 steals for Denver, creating an edge of 7.9% on over 1.5 at +139 odds.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+173)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Rockets vs. Nuggets (9:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jamal Murray for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +173 odds and a 7.7% edge.

Keyonte George over 1.5 rebounds (+120)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 4.7
• Game: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the over 1.5 rebounds line makes Keyonte George a value play in Mavericks vs. Jazz, with our model projecting him for 4.7 rebounds at +120 odds.

Kawhi Leonard to score first basket (+750)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Kawhi Leonard to score first basket here, with a 14.1% probability and 2.3% edge at +750 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, December 15, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:56PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Mavericks vs. Jazz	P.J. Washington over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.1%	48.1%
Mavericks vs. Jazz	P.J. Washington over 1.5 blocks	+155 @ BetMGM	9.7%	48.9%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks	+147 @ DraftKings	9.7%	47.8%
Grizzlies vs. Clippers	James Harden over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	9.7%	47.8%
Mavericks vs. Jazz	Naji Marshall over 3.5 assists	+125 @ BetMGM	9.0%	53.4%
Mavericks vs. Jazz	Cooper Flagg over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	8.3%	48.6%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals	+139 @ DraftKings	7.9%	49.7%
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+173 @ DraftKings	7.7%	44.3%
Mavericks vs. Jazz	Keyonte George over 1.5 rebounds	+120 @ FanDuel	5.6%	51.1%
Grizzlies vs. Clippers	Kawhi Leonard to score first basket	+750 @ FanDuel	2.3%	14.1%

Conclusion

For December 15, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as P.J. Washington, Peyton Watson and James Harden. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.