NBA player props today: Sunday's best props include Marcus Smart [12/14/2025]

Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists (+144)

• Edge: 13.3%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on LA Lakers' Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists. A probability of 54.3% gives this play an edge of 13.3% at +144 odds.

Rui Hachimura over 1.5 3-pointers made (+104)

• Edge: 13.0%
• Probability: 62.0%
• Projection: 2.7
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Rui Hachimura’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 13.0% edge at +104 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.7 3-pointers made on the over 1.5 line.

Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 48.7%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.7% probability and a 12.7% edge at +178.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.5%
• Probability: 46.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to put up 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 12.5% on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds.

Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.5%
• Probability: 48.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals for Phoenix, showing an edge of 12.5% at +178 odds.

Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals (+107)

• Edge: 12.4%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Projection: 2.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Marcus Smart’s steals prop shows an edge of 12.4% at +107 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.3 today.

LeBron James over 20.5 points scored (+104)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Projection: 25.5
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James for 25.5 points scored for LA Lakers, creating an edge of 11.1% on over 20.5 at +104 odds.

Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 46.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Dillon Brooks for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 10.3% edge.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+151)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers (9:00PM ET)

A 10.1% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Stephen Curry a value play in Warriors vs. Trail Blazers, with our model projecting him for 1.5 steals at +151 odds.

LeBron James over 7.5 assists (+101)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Projection: 9.2
• Game: Lakers vs. Suns (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project LeBron James for 9.2 assists here, creating a 10.1% edge on the over 7.5 line at +101 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Sunday, December 14, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:57PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Lakers vs. Suns	Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists	+144 @ FanDuel	13.3%	54.3%
Lakers vs. Suns	Rui Hachimura over 1.5 3-pointers made	+104 @ FanDuel	13.0%	62.0%
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.5%	46.5%
Lakers vs. Suns	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.5%	46.5%
Lakers vs. Suns	Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.5%	48.4%
Lakers vs. Suns	Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals	+107 @ DraftKings	12.4%	60.7%
Lakers vs. Suns	LeBron James over 20.5 points scored	+104 @ FanDuel	11.1%	60.1%
Lakers vs. Suns	Dillon Brooks over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.3%	46.3%
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+151 @ DraftKings	10.1%	50.0%
Lakers vs. Suns	LeBron James over 7.5 assists	+101 @ DraftKings	10.1%	59.9%

Conclusion

For December 14, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura and Toumani Camara. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.