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NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Neemias Queta [3/12/2026]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for March 12, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Neemias Queta, Max Christie and De'Aaron Fox.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Nets vs. Hawks and 76ers vs. Pistons, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Thursday, 3/12
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for March 12, ranked by edge.
Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+194)
- Edge: 14.0%
- Probability: 48.0%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Celtics vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Boston's Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 48.0% gives this play an edge of 14.0% at +194 odds.
Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made (+126)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 3.0
- Game: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)
Max Christie’s 3-pointers made prop shows an 11.2% edge at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.0 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.
De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.9%
- Probability: 45.0%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Nuggets vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.0% probability and a 10.9% edge at +194.
Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 46.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Bulls vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Our model projects Austin Reaves to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 10.3% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.
Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 48.4%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Bulls vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks for Chicago, showing an edge of 10.3% at +162 odds.
Baylor Scheierman over 5.5 rebounds (+126)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 54.0%
- Projection: 6.2
- Game: Celtics vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)
Baylor Scheierman’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 9.8% at +126 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.2 today.
Josh Giddey over 1.5 steals (+181)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 45.0%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Bulls vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Our model projects Josh Giddey for 1.1 steals for Chicago, creating an edge of 9.4% on over 1.5 at +181 odds.
Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 45.3%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Nuggets vs. Spurs (9:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Victor Wembanyama for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds and a 9.3% edge.
GG Jackson over 1.5 blocks (+145)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 48.2%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)
A 7.4% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes GG Jackson a value play in Mavericks vs. Grizzlies, with our model projecting him for 1.3 blocks at +145 odds.
Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists (+130)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Projection: 5.7
- Game: Bulls vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
Simulations project Austin Reaves for 5.7 assists here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 5.5 line at +130 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, March 12, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:45PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Thunder | Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks | +194 @ FanDuel | 14.0% | 48.0% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | Max Christie over 2.5 3-pointers made | +126 @ FanDuel | 11.2% | 55.5% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 10.3% | 46.3% |
| Bulls vs. Lakers | Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 10.3% | 46.3% |
| Bulls vs. Lakers | Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 10.3% | 48.4% |
| Celtics vs. Thunder | Baylor Scheierman over 5.5 rebounds | +126 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 54.0% |
| Bulls vs. Lakers | Josh Giddey over 1.5 steals | +181 @ DraftKings | 9.4% | 45.0% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 9.3% | 45.3% |
| Mavericks vs. Grizzlies | GG Jackson over 1.5 blocks | +145 @ BetMGM | 7.4% | 48.2% |
| Bulls vs. Lakers | Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists | +130 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 50.8% |
Conclusion
For March 12, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Neemias Queta, Max Christie and De'Aaron Fox. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
