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NBA Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include Jalen Johnson [4/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for April 30, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Jalen Johnson, Nikola Jokic and Jaylen Brown.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Knicks vs. Hawks and Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Thursday's playoffs, 4/30
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for April 30, ranked by probability.
Jalen Johnson over 5.5 assists (-118)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 60.2%
- Projection: 7.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Atlanta's Jalen Johnson over 5.5 assists. A probability of 60.2% gives this play an edge of 6.0% at -118 odds.
Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists (+170)
- Edge: 22.7%
- Probability: 59.7%
- Projection: 13.2
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
Nikola Jokic’s assists prop shows a 22.7% edge at +170 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 13.2 assists on the over 11.5 line.
Jaylen Brown over 4.5 assists (+108)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Projection: 5.9
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Jaylen Brown over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 57.8% probability and a 9.7% edge at +108.
OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Projection: 19.3
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects OG Anunoby to record 19.3 points scored today, creating an edge of 5.9% on the over 16.5 line at +100 odds.
Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds (+109)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Projection: 7.5
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds for Boston, showing an edge of 7.9% at +109 odds.
Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds (+111)
- Edge: 7.6%
- Probability: 55.0%
- Projection: 10.4
- Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)
Jalen Johnson’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 7.6% at +111 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.4 today.
Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points scored (+120)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 54.0%
- Projection: 28.4
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Jayson Tatum for 28.4 points scored for Boston, creating an edge of 8.5% on over 26.5 at +120 odds.
Derrick White over 4.5 assists (+134)
- Edge: 11.0%
- Probability: 53.7%
- Projection: 5.2
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Derrick White for 5.2 assists, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +134 odds and a 11.0% edge.
Jamal Murray over 27.5 points scored (+110)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Projection: 29.0
- Game: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves (9:30PM ET)
A 5.7% edge on the over 4.5 points scored line makes Jamal Murray a value play in Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, with our model projecting him for 29.0 points scored at +110 odds.
Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points scored (+130)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 53.0%
- Projection: 29.9
- Game: Celtics vs. 76ers (8:00PM ET)
Simulations project Jaylen Brown for 29.9 points scored here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 28.5 line at +130 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, April 30, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:44AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jalen Johnson over 5.5 assists | -118 @ DraftKings | 6.0% | 60.2% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nikola Jokic over 11.5 assists | +170 @ fanatics | 22.7% | 59.7% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jaylen Brown over 4.5 assists | +108 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 55.9% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | OG Anunoby over 16.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 5.9% | 55.9% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jaylen Brown over 6.5 rebounds | +109 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 55.8% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jalen Johnson over 9.5 rebounds | +111 @ DraftKings | 7.6% | 55.0% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jayson Tatum over 26.5 points scored | +120 @ fanatics | 8.5% | 54.0% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Derrick White over 4.5 assists | +134 @ FanDuel | 11.0% | 53.7% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Jamal Murray over 4.5 points scored | +110 @ fanatics | 5.7% | 53.3% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Jaylen Brown over 28.5 points scored | +130 @ fanatics | 9.5% | 53.0% |
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Conclusion
For April 30, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Jalen Johnson, Nikola Jokic and Jaylen Brown. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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