NBA Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include Daniss Jenkins [5/7/2026]

Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists (+225)

• Edge: 18.5%
• Probability: 49.3%
• Projection: 4.4
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Detroit's Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists. A probability of 49.3% gives this play an edge of 18.5% at +225 odds.

LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds (+140)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 46.7%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

LeBron James’s rebounds prop shows a 5.1% edge at +140 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.9 rebounds on the over 7.5 line.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+185)

• Edge: 11.2%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 46.2% probability and an 11.2% edge at +185.

Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks (+170)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Deandre Ayton to record 1.1 blocks today, creating an edge of 5.5% on the under 0.5 line at +170 odds.

Austin Reaves under 2.5 assists (+425)

• Edge: 16.0%
• Probability: 35.1%
• Projection: 5.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Austin Reaves under 2.5 assists for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 16.0% at +425 odds.

Donovan Mitchell to score first basket (+550)

• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 15.8%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Donovan Mitchell’s to score first basket prop shows an edge of 0.4% at +550 odds, supported by a 15.8% probability according to our model.

LeBron James to score first basket (+800)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 13.8%
• Game: Lakers vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on LeBron James to score first basket for LA Lakers, with a 13.8% probability and a 2.7% edge at +800 odds.

Tobias Harris to score first basket (+850)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 12.5%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Tobias Harris to score first basket, supported by a 12.5% probability at +850 odds and an edge of 2.0%.

Duncan Robinson to score first basket (+1400)

• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 8.1%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

A 1.5% edge on the to score first basket line makes Duncan Robinson a value play in Cavaliers vs. Pistons, supported by a 8.1% probability at +1400 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, May 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:07AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists	+225 @ fanatics	18.5%	49.3%
Lakers vs. Thunder	LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds	+140 @ fanatics	5.1%	46.7%
Lakers vs. Thunder	Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds	+185 @ fanatics	5.5%	42.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder	Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks	+170 @ BetMGM	5.5%	42.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder	Austin Reaves under 2.5 assists	+425 @ fanatics	16.0%	35.1%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Donovan Mitchell to score first basket	+550 @ FanDuel	0.4%	15.8%
Lakers vs. Thunder	LeBron James to score first basket	+800 @ FanDuel	2.7%	13.8%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Tobias Harris to score first basket	+850 @ FanDuel	2.0%	12.5%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Duncan Robinson to score first basket	+1400 @ FanDuel	1.5%	8.1%

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Conclusion

For May 7, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Daniss Jenkins, LeBron James and Austin Reaves. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.