NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Keegan Murray [12/11/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for December 11, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Keegan Murray, Cameron Johnson and Nikola Jokic.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Clippers vs. Rockets and Celtics vs. Bucks, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Thursday, 12/11

Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top 9 NBA player props for December 11, ranked by edge.

Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks (+173)

• Edge: 12.7%
• Probability: 49.4%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Sacramento's Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 49.4% gives this play an edge of 12.7% at +173 odds.

Cameron Johnson over 2.5 3-pointers made (+145)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 2.6
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Cameron Johnson’s 3-pointers made prop shows a 10.9% edge at +145 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 2.6 3-pointers made on the over 2.5 line.

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 10.7%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Projection: 1.7
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 52.7% probability and a 10.7% edge at +138.

DeMar DeRozan over 1.5 steals (+169)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 44.3%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects DeMar DeRozan to put up 1.1 steals today, creating an edge of 7.1% on the over 1.5 line at +169 odds.

Keegan Murray over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Keegan Murray over 1.5 steals for Sacramento, showing an edge of 6.7% at +148 odds.

Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 44.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Jamal Murray’s steals prop shows an edge of 6.4% at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Cameron Johnson over 14.5 points scored (-103)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Projection: 17.3
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Cameron Johnson for 17.3 points scored for Denver, creating an edge of 5.2% on over 14.5 at -103 odds.

Maxime Raynaud to score first basket (+900)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Maxime Raynaud to score first basket, supported by a 12.8% probability at +900 odds and an edge of 2.8%.

Russell Westbrook to score first basket (+850)

• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 10.7%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

A 0.2% edge on the to score first basket line makes Russell Westbrook a value play in Nuggets vs. Kings, supported by a 10.7% probability at +850 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, December 11, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 9:51PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Nuggets vs. Kings	Keegan Murray over 1.5 blocks	+173 @ DraftKings	12.7%	49.4%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Cameron Johnson over 2.5 3-pointers made	+145 @ BetMGM	10.9%	51.7%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	7.1%	44.3%
Nuggets vs. Kings	DeMar DeRozan over 1.5 steals	+169 @ DraftKings	7.1%	44.3%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Keegan Murray over 1.5 steals	+148 @ DraftKings	6.7%	47.1%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Jamal Murray over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	6.4%	44.5%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Cameron Johnson over 14.5 points scored	-103 @ DraftKings	5.2%	55.9%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Maxime Raynaud to score first basket	+900 @ FanDuel	2.8%	12.8%
Nuggets vs. Kings	Russell Westbrook to score first basket	+850 @ FanDuel	0.2%	10.7%

Conclusion

For December 11, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Keegan Murray, Cameron Johnson and Nikola Jokic. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.