NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Peyton Watson [2/3/2026]

Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks (+194)

• Edge: 16.0%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Nuggets vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Denver's Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks. A probability of 50.0% gives this play an edge of 16.0% at +194 odds.

Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 14.1%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Hawks vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Andrew Wiggins’s steals prop shows a 14.1% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.9%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Hawks vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.9% probability and a 12.9% edge at +178.

Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Projection: 1.8
• Game: Suns vs. Trail Blazers (11:00PM ET)

Our model projects Grayson Allen to record 1.8 steals today, creating an edge of 12.1% on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds.

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 11.6%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Nuggets vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals for Denver, showing an edge of 11.6% at +162 odds.

Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: 76ers vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Brandin Podziemski’s steals prop shows an edge of 11.1% at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Bam Adebayo over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.1%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Bam Adebayo for 1.1 steals for Miami, creating an edge of 11.1% on over 1.5 at +194 odds.

Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Lakers vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Marcus Smart for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +194 odds and a 10.8% edge.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+173)

• Edge: 10.7%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

A 10.7% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes LeBron James a value play in Lakers vs. Nets, with our model projecting him for 1.3 steals at +173 odds.

Al Horford over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 47.7%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Al Horford for 1.2 blocks here, creating a 9.5% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 11:44AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Nuggets vs. Pistons	Peyton Watson over 1.5 blocks	+194 @ FanDuel	16.0%	50.0%
Hawks vs. Heat	Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	14.1%	48.1%
Hawks vs. Heat	Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.1%	54.1%
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Grayson Allen over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	12.1%	54.1%
Nuggets vs. Pistons	Nikola Jokic over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	11.6%	49.7%
76ers vs. Warriors	Brandin Podziemski over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.1%	45.1%
Hawks vs. Heat	Bam Adebayo over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.1%	45.1%
Lakers vs. Nets	Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	10.8%	44.8%
Lakers vs. Nets	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+173 @ DraftKings	10.7%	47.3%
76ers vs. Warriors	Al Horford over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	9.5%	47.7%

Conclusion

For February 3, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Peyton Watson, Andrew Wiggins and Jalen Johnson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.