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NBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Deni Avdija [4/6/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.

NBA Prop Bets.
NBA prop bets for April 6, 2026 are based on the latest odds and projections for Tuesday's basketball games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for April 07, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Deni Avdija, Joel Embiid and Nae'Qwan Tomlin.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Knicks vs. Hawks and Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Tuesday, 4/6

Below are the top ten NBA player props for April 6, ranked by probability.

Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists (+108)

Our model has flagged value on Portland's Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists. A probability of 56.2% gives this play an edge of 8.1% at +108 odds.

 

Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists (+124)

  • Edge: 9.1%
  • Probability: 53.7%
  • Projection: 5.2
  • Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Joel Embiid’s assists prop shows a 9.1% edge at +124 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 5.2 assists on the over 4.5 line.

 

Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds (+134)

The data highlights value on Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 48.7% probability and a 5.9% edge at +134.

 

OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+136)

  • Edge: 5.7%
  • Probability: 48.0%
  • Projection: 1.4
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects OG Anunoby to record 1.4 steals today, creating an edge of 5.7% on the over 1.5 line at +136 odds.

 

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+169)

  • Edge: 10.8%
  • Probability: 48.0%
  • Projection: 1.3
  • Game: 76ers vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 10.8% at +169 odds.

 

Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals (+166)

Desmond Bane’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.0% at +166 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

 

Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals (+162)

Our model projects Jrue Holiday for 1.1 steals for Portland, creating an edge of 7.0% on over 1.5 at +162 odds.

 

Josh Hart over 1.5 steals (+188)

  • Edge: 10.2%
  • Probability: 44.9%
  • Projection: 1.1
  • Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Josh Hart for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +188 odds and a 10.2% edge.

 

Jalen Duren to score first basket (+600)

A 0.4% edge on the To Score First Basket 1.5 to score first basket line makes Jalen Duren a value play in Pistons vs. Magic, supported by a 14.7% probability at +600 odds.

 

Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket (+700)

Simulations show value on Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket here, with a 12.8% probability and 0.3% edge at +700 odds.

 

NBA player prop summary: Monday, April 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:02AM ET:

Matchup Prop Odds Edge Probability
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Deni Avdija over 7.5 assists +108 @ FanDuel 8.1% 56.2%
76ers vs. Spurs Joel Embiid over 4.5 assists +124 @ FanDuel 9.1% 53.7%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Nae'Qwan Tomlin over 4.5 rebounds +134 @ FanDuel 5.7% 48.0%
Knicks vs. Hawks OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals +136 @ DraftKings 5.7% 48.0%
76ers vs. Spurs Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks +169 @ DraftKings 10.8% 48.0%
Pistons vs. Magic Desmond Bane over 1.5 steals +166 @ DraftKings 8.0% 45.6%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Jrue Holiday over 1.5 steals +162 @ FanDuel 7.0% 45.1%
Knicks vs. Hawks Josh Hart over 1.5 steals +188 @ FanDuel 10.2% 44.9%
Pistons vs. Magic Jalen Duren To Score First Basket 1.5 to score first basket +600 @ FanDuel 0.4% 14.7%
Knicks vs. Hawks Karl-Anthony Towns to score first basket +700 @ FanDuel 0.3% 12.8%
 

Conclusion

For April 6, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Deni Avdija, Joel Embiid and Nae'Qwan Tomlin. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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