NBA player props today: NBA Cup Final's best props include Stephon Castle [12/16/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for the Final of the 2025 NBA Cup in Vegas, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie and De'Aaron Fox.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including today's Spurs vs. Knicks clash, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for the NBA Cup Final in Vegas

Below are the top 5 NBA player props for December 16, ranked by edge.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Projection: 1.2

Our model has found value on San Antonio's Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals. A probability of 45.3% gives this play an edge of 9.4% at +178 odds.

Julian Champagnie over 4.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Projection: 4.9

Julian Champagnie’s rebounds prop shows an 8.4% edge at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.9 rebounds on the over 4.5 line.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Projection: 1.2

The data highlights value on De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 45.9% probability and a 5.6% edge at +148.

Harrison Barnes over 10.5 points scored (+100)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Projection: 13.0

Our model projects Harrison Barnes to put up 13.0 points scored today, creating an edge of 5.3% on the over 10.5 line at +100 odds.

Devin Vassell over 2.5 3-pointers made (+120)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Projection: 2.6

Simulations indicate value on Devin Vassell over 2.5 3-pointers made for San Antonio, showing an edge of 5.2% at +120 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Tuesday, December 16, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 7:49PM ET:

Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.4%	45.3%
Julian Champagnie over 4.5 rebounds	+130 @ FanDuel	8.4%	51.9%
De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	5.3%	55.3%
Harrison Barnes over 10.5 points scored	+100 @ FanDuel	5.3%	55.3%
Devin Vassell over 2.5 3-pointers made	+120 @ FanDuel	5.2%	50.7%

Conclusion

For December 16, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie and De'Aaron Fox. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.