NBA player props today: New Year's Eve best props include Shaedon Sharpe [12/31/2025]

Dimers' NBA props are live for New Year's Eve, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Shaedon Sharpe, Stephon Castle and Deni Avdija.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Timberwolves vs. Hawks and Warriors vs. Hornets, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Wednesday, 12/31

Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for December 31, ranked by edge.

Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 13.1%
• Probability: 47.1%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Portland's Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals. A probability of 47.1% gives this play an edge of 13.1% at +194 odds.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Spurs (7:00PM ET)

Stephon Castle’s steals prop shows an 11.3% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds (+124)

• Edge: 11.3%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Projection: 8.6
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 55.9% probability and an 11.3% edge at +124.

Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Projection: 5.1
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Shaedon Sharpe to put up 5.1 rebounds today, creating an edge of 9.7% on the over 4.5 line at +130 odds.

Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+138)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 51.7%
• Projection: 1.7
• Game: Nuggets vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks for Toronto, showing an edge of 9.7% at +138 odds.

Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 45.5%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Toumani Camara’s steals prop shows an edge of 9.5% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.

Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks (+138)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Wizards vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Myles Turner for 1.6 blocks for Milwaukee, creating an edge of 9.2% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.

De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Knicks vs. Spurs (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects De'Aaron Fox for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 8.1% edge.

Dylan Harper over 4.5 assists (+124)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 52.0%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Knicks vs. Spurs (7:00PM ET)

A 7.4% edge on the over 1.5 assists line makes Dylan Harper a value play in Knicks vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 4.9 assists at +124 odds.

Ryan Rollins over 5.5 assists (+130)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 5.7
• Game: Wizards vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Ryan Rollins for 5.7 assists here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 5.5 line at +130 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, December 31, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:58PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder	Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	13.1%	47.1%
Knicks vs. Spurs	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	11.3%	45.3%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder	Deni Avdija over 7.5 rebounds	+124 @ FanDuel	9.7%	53.2%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder	Shaedon Sharpe over 4.5 rebounds	+130 @ FanDuel	9.7%	53.2%
Nuggets vs. Raptors	Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks	+138 @ FanDuel	9.7%	51.7%
Trail Blazers vs. Thunder	Toumani Camara over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.5%	45.5%
Wizards vs. Bucks	Myles Turner over 1.5 blocks	+138 @ DraftKings	9.2%	51.2%
Knicks vs. Spurs	De'Aaron Fox over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	8.1%	46.2%
Knicks vs. Spurs	Dylan Harper over 1.5 assists	+124 @ FanDuel	7.4%	52.0%
Wizards vs. Bucks	Ryan Rollins over 5.5 assists	+130 @ FanDuel	7.3%	50.8%

Conclusion

For December 31, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Shaedon Sharpe, Stephon Castle and Deni Avdija. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.