NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [3/10/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of March 10, 2026, which includes every team's current NBA title chances.

Using our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide expertise on the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the highest probability of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets.

Current odds to win NBA championship [3/10/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 37.9%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Celtics, Nuggets, Spurs, and Cavaliers.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 37.9%
• Championship Odds: +145

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 37.9% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +145 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 50.5% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of -120 for this outcome.

2. Boston Celtics

• Dimers Probability: 13.4%
• Championship Odds: +650

The Celtics have a 13.4% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +650 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Boston is rated with a 32.7% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +185 for this scenario.

As well as supplying these odds and probabilities on the Celtics to win the title, Dimers has NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Jayson Tatum.

3. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 11.2%
• Championship Odds: +1100

The Nuggets are projected to have a 11.2% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1100 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Denver, lead by Nikola Jokic, is rated with a 17.4% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +600 for this outcome.

Speaking of Nikola Jokic, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Nuggets star are hitting their prop lines.

4. San Antonio Spurs

• Dimers Probability: 10.1%
• Championship Odds: +800

The Spurs are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +800 can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, San Antonio is rated with a 16.8% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +450 for this scenario.

Wondering how Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 5.8%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Cavaliers are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1300 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Cleveland is rated with a 21.1% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +325 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of March 10, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	37.9%	+145
Celtics	13.4%	+650
Nuggets	11.2%	+1100 🔥
Spurs	10.1%	+800
Cavaliers	5.8%	+1300
Pistons	4.8%	+1800
Knicks	4.7%	+1800
Timberwolves	3.3%	+3500
Rockets	2.6%	+3500
Hornets	1.0%	+15000
Jazz	0.8%	+500000
Pelicans	0.6%	+500000
76ers	0.5%	+15000
Warriors	0.5%	+30000
Pacers	0.5%	+500000
Hawks	0.5%	+100000
Magic	0.4%	+25000
Lakers	0.4%	+10000
Raptors	0.4%	+30000
Bulls	0.3%	+500000
Grizzlies	0.1%	+500000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Washington Wizards
• Brooklyn Nets
• Portland Trail Blazers
• Phoenix Suns
• Sacramento Kings
• Miami Heat
• Milwaukee Bucks
• Dallas Mavericks
• LA Clippers

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make informed NBA futures betting decisions today - 3/10/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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