NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [4/28/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of April 28, 2026, which covers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances as we advance through the postseason.

Using our powerful predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the greatest likelihood of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the San Antonio Spurs and Boston Celtics.

Current odds to win NBA championship [4/28/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 47.0%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Spurs, Celtics, Cavaliers, and Nuggets.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 47.0%
• Championship Odds: -105

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 47.0% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of -105 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 60.7% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of -210 for this outcome.

2. San Antonio Spurs

• Dimers Probability: 16.7%
• Championship Odds: +550

The Spurs have a 16.7% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +550 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, San Antonio is rated with a 24.4% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +310 for this scenario.

As well as providing these odds and probabilities on the Spurs to win the title, Dimers produces NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Victor Wembanyama.

3. Boston Celtics

• Dimers Probability: 15.8%
• Championship Odds: +475

The Celtics are projected to have a 15.8% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +475 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Boston, lead by Jayson Tatum, is rated with a 47.1% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of -320 for this outcome.

Speaking of Jayson Tatum, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Celtics star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 5.4%
• Championship Odds: +1600

The Cavaliers are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1600 can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Cleveland is rated with a 21.9% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of +1400 for this scenario.

Wondering how Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 4.4%
• Championship Odds: +2500

The Nuggets are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +2500 currently available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Denver is rated with a 7.2% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +1700 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of April 28, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Portland Trail Blazers

Check out the current odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 4/28/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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