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Pelicans vs. Kings prediction: New Orleans favored to win Friday's NBA game [4/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as the favored New Orleans Pelicans square off with the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Pelicans as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Kings game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Kings lineup will feature stars like DeMar DeRozan, Precious Achiuwa and Maxime Raynaud, while the Pelicans will rely on Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Kings, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Pelicans a 72% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Pelicans winning 119-112.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Pelicans and Kings each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Pelicans vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -245 | +205 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kings +6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | -245 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pelicans vs. Kings player props
NBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the New Orleans vs. Sacramento game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Golden 1 Center.
Trey Murphy is expected to lead the Pelicans with 25 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, while DeMar DeRozan is projected to have 20 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Kings.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 25 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 44 |
| Zion Williamson | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
| Saddiq Bey | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Derik Queen | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33 |
Kings prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Kings:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan | 20 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| P. Achiuwa | 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| Maxime Raynaud | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Devin Carter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Nique Clifford | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
Pelicans vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Kings and Pelicans at Golden 1 Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
- Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Conclusion
We predict the Pelicans, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Friday, with Trey Murphy projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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