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Pelicans vs. Raptors prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs Toronto Raptors predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 8:30 PM ET as the New Orleans Pelicans take on the favored Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Raptors as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Raptors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Raptors lineup will feature players like Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes, while the Pelicans will rely on Zion Williamson, Saddiq Bey and Jeremiah Fears.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Raptors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Pelicans and Raptors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Raptors a 75% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Raptors winning 118-110.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Pelicans and Raptors each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Pelicans vs. Raptors odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-108) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +275 | -325 |
| Total | o228.5 (-114) | u228.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Raptors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +8.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Raptors | -325 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pelicans vs. Raptors player props
Betting on New Orleans vs. Toronto NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.
Zion Williamson is expected to lead the Pelicans with 21 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Brandon Ingram is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Raptors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
| Saddiq Bey | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 32 |
| Jordan Poole | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| Herbert Jones | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
Raptors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Raptors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| RJ Barrett | 21 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 39 |
| Scottie Barnes | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 45 |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Jamal Shead | 9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 26 |
Pelicans vs. Raptors game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Raptors and Pelicans at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Toronto Raptors
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Raptors, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday, with Scottie Barnes projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Raptors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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